MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
62.8%
37.2%
-230
+213
-220
+210
-1½-140
+1½+125
-1½-140
+1½+130
3
2
-0.37734-0.38472-0.46501
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
43.8%
56.2%
+144
-151
+146
-150
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-140
-1½+136
3
13
-0.51955-0.51730-0.57657
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
56.4%
43.6%
+105
-112
+111
-117
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+164
1
4
-0.65406-0.63074-0.83073
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
37.5%
62.5%
+231
-250
+230
-250
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
3
4
-0.35274-0.35364-0.47047
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
39.0%
61.0%
+156
-169
+161
-170
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+119
4
10
-0.48352-0.47531-0.49443
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
50.2%
49.8%
-105
-105
+101
-105
-1½+155
+1½-173

2
3
-0.69315-0.67871-0.69794
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
44.7%
55.3%
+144
-154
+143
-149
+1½-146
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
0
8
-0.51639-0.52337-0.59223
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
34.3%
65.7%
+170
-180
+173
-185
+1½-124
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+107
3
2
-1.00641-1.01960-1.07093
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
31.6%
68.4%
+237
-260
+240
-260
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+130
-1½-140
4
12
-0.34421-0.34163-0.37975
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
39.8%
60.2%
+149
-157
+150
-154
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
1
3
-0.50526-0.50667-0.50785
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
61.9%
38.1%
-207
+192
-200
+195
-1½-117
+1½+122
-1½-130
+1½+120
1
3
-1.08818-1.08743-0.96595
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres
33.3%
66.7%
+296
-315
+290
-310
+1½+140
-1½-155
+1½+155
-1½-155
5
11
-0.28720-0.29201-0.40567
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.7%
62.3%
+163
-173
+163
-170
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
6
-0.47002-0.47244-0.47388
Oakland Athletics
San Francisco Giants
49.4%
50.6%
-103
+103
-108
+101
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
0
2
-0.70804-0.71474-0.68078
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
35.1%
64.9%
+157
-171
+160
-168
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+112
5
4
-0.96380-0.96693-1.04757
Seattle Mariners
Chicago White Sox
35.3%
64.7%
+172
-187
+180
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+107
9
3
-1.01965-1.04185-1.04021
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.