MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
50.2%
49.8%
+116
-115
+115
-120
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+152
7
8
-0.62355-0.61667-0.69687
Kansas City Royals
Texas Rangers
53.7%
46.3%
+111
-121
+113
-120
+1½-194
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
9
-0.62358-0.62096-0.76968
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
48.5%
51.5%
+131
-127
+135
-144
+1½-175
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
1
-0.82959-0.86998-0.72276
Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays
45.6%
54.4%
+152
-163
+156
-162
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+124
3
4
-0.49487-0.48965-0.60846
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
52.6%
47.4%
-125
+118
-123
+126
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-128
3
5
-0.79350-0.80939-0.74619
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
49.0%
51.0%
+133
-135
+132
-135
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
11
-0.55795-0.55979-0.67348
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
46.5%
53.5%
-103
-105
+101
-104
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+176
3
2
-0.69788-0.70542-0.76593
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.6%
66.4%
+234
-258
+240
-255
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
6
5
-1.22584-1.23612-1.09103
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
49.2%
50.8%
+118
-123
+115
-120
+1½-197
-1½+184
+1½-210
-1½+190
1
2
-0.60523-0.61667-0.67686
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
34.2%
65.8%
+255
-275
+250
-280
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-125
4
5
-0.32507-0.32768-0.41875
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.4%
61.6%
+225
-245
+225
-247
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-128
4
0
-1.19634-1.19799-0.95662
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
39.2%
60.8%
+147
-157
+145
-154
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+128
8
2
-0.91985-0.91046-0.93603
Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
44.6%
55.4%
+170
-180
+169
-179
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
4
1
-1.00641-1.00277-0.80820
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
50.3%
49.7%
-102
-105
+101
-106
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+172
0
1
-0.68605-0.67645-0.69921
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
63.1%
36.9%
-230
+220
-220
+213
-1½-154
+1½+150
-1½-150
+1½+150
12
3
-0.37044-0.38166-0.46088
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
50.3%
49.7%
-120
+110
-117
+109
-1½+143
+1½-159
-1½+145
+1½-163
7
3
-0.62755-0.63522-0.68740
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.