MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
64.1%
35.9%
-240
+218
-230
+215
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-145
+1½+140
5
3
-0.36846-0.37533-0.44493
Kansas City Royals
Los Angeles Angels
43.2%
56.8%
+141
-151
+140
-149
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+139
1
6
-0.52457-0.52846-0.56651
Cleveland Guardians
St. Louis Cardinals
46.8%
53.2%
+122
-132
+123
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
8
-0.58316-0.58410-0.63045
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
66.4%
33.6%
-175
+165
-174
+162
-1½-121
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+100
2
1
-0.46561-0.47064-0.40993
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins
61.4%
38.6%
-189
+179
-182
+173
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-123
+1½+110
9
6
-0.43700-0.44953-0.48818
Toronto Blue Jays
Chicago White Sox
44.0%
56.0%
+143
-151
+140
-147
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+135
6
2
-0.90093-0.88719-0.82205
Washington Nationals
Tampa Bay Rays
40.7%
59.3%
+153
-166
+157
-167
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+123
9
7
-0.94734-0.95836-0.89897
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
46.8%
53.2%
+115
-125
+120
-125
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+155
9
6
-0.78592-0.79851-0.76008
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
43.5%
56.5%
+125
-133
+125
-126
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
8
3
-0.82608-0.81290-0.83209
Colorado Rockies
Miami Marlins
44.5%
55.5%
+108
-117
+105
-111
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+181
4
3
-0.75211-0.73162-0.80937
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
46.1%
53.9%
+109
-118
+111
-116
+1½-180
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
7
-0.63337-0.63260-0.61874
New York Mets
Baltimore Orioles
59.0%
41.0%
-130
+120
-127
+122
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
14
1
-0.59012-0.59064-0.52721
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies
46.1%
53.9%
+120
-130
+124
-128
+1½-167
-1½+151
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
2
-0.59012-0.58512-0.61784
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
39.9%
60.1%
+234
-255
+235
-260
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
3
1
-1.22353-1.22946-0.91867
Arizona Diamondbacks
Oakland Athletics
35.4%
64.6%
+170
-185
+176
-180
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-105
-1½+106
0
4
-0.45144-0.44699-0.43632
San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers
52.0%
48.0%
-109
-101
-102
+100
+1½-205
-1½+184
+1½-200
-1½+192
3
4
-0.71192-0.69808-0.73372
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.