MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 18, 2026
Games for Jan 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
45.8%
54.2%
+114
-121
+112
-118
+1½-177
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+163
2
7
-0.61706-0.62672-0.61223
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
41.2%
58.8%
+149
-157
+145
-153
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
6
2
-0.92470-0.90892-0.88562
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
47.1%
52.9%
+132
-142
+135
-141
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
2
-0.85923-0.86496-0.75343
Minnesota Twins
Kansas City Royals
46.2%
53.8%
+108
-113
+108
-116
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
6
-0.64512-0.63934-0.62018
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
35.4%
64.6%
+194
-213
+193
-206
+1½-105
-1½-109
+1½+100
-1½-107
1
4
-0.40536-0.41011-0.43649
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
39.7%
60.3%
+159
-167
+161
-169
+1½-120
-1½+119
+1½-125
-1½+112
4
7
-0.48075-0.47615-0.50585
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
51.5%
48.5%
-101
-105
+101
-105
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-170
3
5
-0.68363-0.67871-0.72260
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
43.2%
56.8%
+118
-128
+124
-124
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
11
-0.59724-0.59137-0.56481
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
47.9%
52.1%
+104
-112
+107
-112
+1½-187
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
5
1
-0.73126-0.73888-0.73647
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
38.4%
61.6%
+176
-190
+181
-190
+1½-120
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+115
9
2
-1.03257-1.04418-0.95625
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+121
-131
+126
-130
+1½-152
-1½+140
+1½-156
-1½+145
1
5
-0.58663-0.57821-0.59099
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
56.2%
43.8%
-152
+144
-150
+146
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-120
6
0
-0.51849-0.51730-0.57695
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
32.7%
67.3%
+220
-235
+215
-230
+1½+110
-1½-122
+1½+110
-1½-120
3
14
-0.36844-0.37533-0.39623
Texas Rangers
Colorado Rockies
45.1%
54.9%
-112
+104
-110
+105


3
6
-0.73126-0.72940-0.60022
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
44.7%
55.3%
+125
-135
+125
-130
+1½-151
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
1
2
-0.57304-0.58016-0.59287
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
40.5%
59.5%
+139
-149
+141
-148
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
5
3
-0.88795-0.89126-0.90281
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.