MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
42.9%
57.1%
+141
-151
+142
-150
+1½-145
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+131
1
5
-0.52457-0.52396-0.55970
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
51.0%
49.0%
-131
+124
-126
+122
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
5
-0.81991-0.80544-0.71311
Minnesota Twins
Baltimore Orioles
58.3%
41.7%
-161
+150
-165
+156
-1½-105
+1½-104
-1½-112
+1½+100
4
7
-0.93300-0.95319-0.87496
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
44.1%
55.9%
+145
-155
+144
-153
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
5
6
-0.51371-0.51743-0.58080
New York Mets
Arizona Diamondbacks
67.1%
32.9%
-165
+156
-165
+160
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-105
6
2
-0.48696-0.48102-0.39902
St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.9%
63.1%
+175
-185
+175
-182
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-128
-1½+120
4
9
-0.44482-0.44690-0.46020
Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals
41.0%
59.0%
+173
-188
+188
-190
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
-1½+100
3
7
-0.44541-0.42524-0.52806
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
48.6%
51.4%
-105
-102
-107
+105
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
1
3
-0.70029-0.72256-0.66475
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
36.4%
63.6%
+177
-190
+176
-184
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+102
3
5
-0.43891-0.44420-0.45204
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
49.1%
50.9%
-112
+102
-106
-101
-1½+142
+1½-159
-1½+152
+1½-155
2
11
-0.72619-0.70508-0.67576
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
53.1%
46.9%
-133
+126
-132
+128
-1½+130
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-132
5
6
-0.82858-0.83172-0.75660
Los Angeles Angels
San Francisco Giants
44.7%
55.3%
+141
-151
+138
-147
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+138
1
6
-0.52457-0.53415-0.59251
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
60.0%
40.0%
-165
+152
-160
+158
-1½+109
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
8
6
-0.49307-0.48849-0.51134
San Diego Padres
Chicago Cubs
54.3%
45.7%
-140
+134
-135
+127
-1½+110
+1½-122
-1½+110
+1½-125
2
7
-0.86079-0.83466-0.78287
Detroit Tigers
Milwaukee Brewers
29.0%
71.0%
+264
-292
+258
-290
+1½+120
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-135
2
3
-0.31394-0.31893-0.34274
Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
46.6%
53.4%
-106
-103
+100
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+180
1
11
-0.70019-0.68116-0.62728
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.