MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.2%
49.8%
+119
-128
+124
-130
+1½-227
-1½+197
+1½-220
-1½+200
0
7
-0.59519-0.58212-0.69806
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
42.1%
57.9%
+111
-119
+110
-116
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+167
2
3
-0.62712-0.63482-0.54640
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.4%
64.6%
+192
-208
+190
-200
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+105
8
5
-1.08922-1.07614-1.03755
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
41.8%
58.2%
+131
-138
+136
-142
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
3
-0.55767-0.54356-0.54080
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
47.2%
52.8%
+128
-132
+120
-127
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+160
8
6
-0.83172-0.80236-0.74972
San Diego Padres
Houston Astros
51.1%
48.9%
+105
-112
+108
-114
+1½-200
-1½+176
+1½-188
-1½+180
10
3
-0.73382-0.74575-0.67074
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
40.4%
59.6%
+148
-160
+152
-158
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+126
8
3
-0.92669-0.93344-0.90706
Miami Marlins
Boston Red Sox
44.6%
55.4%
+150
-163
+151
-158
+1½-130
-1½+121
+1½-130
-1½+124
2
5
-0.49799-0.50112-0.59120
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians
55.2%
44.8%
-165
+154
-160
+155
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½+100
+1½-110
11
2
-0.48999-0.49303-0.59381
New York Yankees
Detroit Tigers
69.3%
30.7%
-275
+247
-260
+245
-1½-163
+1½+150
-1½-156
+1½+145
2
3
-1.26546-1.25037-1.18172
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
44.1%
55.9%
+170
-185
+168
-177
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
0
1
-0.45144-0.45991-0.58227
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
47.9%
52.1%
-105
-105
-103
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+182
0
5
-0.69315-0.68844-0.65256
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.3%
62.7%
+133
-141
+135
-143
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+160
3
4
-0.55017-0.54412-0.46698
Los Angeles Angels
Oakland Athletics
41.8%
58.2%
+180
-194
+180
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
0
5
-0.43258-0.43510-0.54084
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.9%
47.1%
-111
+101
-109
+105
-1½+141
+1½-150

5
4
-0.66563-0.66027-0.63637
Baltimore Orioles
Chicago White Sox
39.0%
61.0%
+201
-205
+197
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-108
1
5
-0.40166-0.40348-0.49467
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.