MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
58.6%
41.4%
-146
+137
-139
+132
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+112
+1½-125
4
1
-0.53703-0.55453-0.53423
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
30.2%
69.8%
+210
-233
+215
-224
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-105
-1½+100
1
3
-0.37914-0.37787-0.35931
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
40.8%
59.2%
+153
-165
+157
-163
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+116
6
2
-0.94595-0.95272-0.89541
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
43.4%
56.6%
+188
-201
+186
-200
+1½-111
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
2
1
-1.07268-1.06700-0.83367
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
45.0%
55.0%
+130
-139
+133
-140
+1½-170
-1½+158
+1½-174
-1½+160
2
0
-0.84915-0.85830-0.79777
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.4%
40.6%
-129
+122
-130
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
4
3
-0.58758-0.58016-0.52037
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
42.8%
57.2%
+165
-177
+165
-168
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
2
-0.99077-0.97878-0.84784
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
40.4%
59.6%
+162
-175
+166
-180
+1½-115
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+110
1
5
-0.46988-0.46045-0.51795
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
51.9%
48.1%
-110
+102
-106
+101
-1½+150
+1½-165

3
8
-0.72177-0.71013-0.73166
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
49.3%
50.7%
+105
-113
+105
-112
+1½-215
-1½+188
+1½-215
-1½+195
3
5
-0.65204-0.65406-0.67853
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
52.3%
47.7%
+117
-127
+118
-125
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-173
-1½+155
6
5
-0.79483-0.79350-0.64750
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
39.9%
60.1%
+130
-138
+128
-137
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-172
-1½+155
3
2
-0.84742-0.84070-0.92000
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
48.5%
51.5%
+124
-134
+125
-131
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-184
-1½+170
6
9
-0.57638-0.57869-0.66435
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
53.5%
46.5%
-105
-102
-108
+100
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
14
8
-0.68605-0.67446-0.62554
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
47.0%
53.0%
+120
-130
+120
-124
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+156
2
1
-0.80802-0.79653-0.75477
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
32.7%
67.3%
+264
-285
+247
-270
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
2
9
-0.31563-0.33283-0.39608
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.