MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
46.3%
53.7%
-118
+114
-114
+111
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+140
+1½-150
5
6
-0.76934-0.75332-0.62248
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
55.9%
44.1%
-130
+120
-130
+128
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
11
5
-0.59012-0.57435-0.58236
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies
46.7%
53.3%
+120
-130
+126
-129
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
4
-0.59012-0.57969-0.62854
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
60.4%
39.6%
-141
+134
-142
+133
-1½+114
+1½-120
-1½+115
+1½-120
2
3
-0.86249-0.86171-0.92604
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
46.9%
53.1%
+131
-141
+132
-141
+1½-152
-1½+144
+1½-150
-1½+137
2
3
-0.55384-0.55199-0.63209
Pittsburgh Pirates
Atlanta Braves
37.2%
62.8%
+196
-215
+195
-205
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½-105
1
7
-0.40211-0.40836-0.46469
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
45.8%
54.2%
+129
-139
+129
-136
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+146
8
5
-0.84665-0.84142-0.78121
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.9%
48.1%
+137
-145
+140
-145
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
1
5
-0.53820-0.53299-0.73185
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
53.1%
46.9%
-115
+109
-114
+108
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-159
9
4
-0.63898-0.64318-0.63318
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
46.5%
53.5%
+150
-163
+156
-160
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+117
6
4
-0.93586-0.94598-0.76552
Baltimore Orioles
Washington Nationals
41.7%
58.3%
+161
-175
+165
-179
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
5
6
-0.47130-0.46259-0.53969
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
47.4%
52.6%
+114
-123
+118
-125
+1½-192
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
6
-0.61367-0.60195-0.64266
Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
41.8%
58.2%
+139
-149
+140
-146
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
4
5
-0.53018-0.53184-0.54061
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
50.2%
49.8%
-130
+120
-128
+124
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
6
2
-0.59012-0.58512-0.68864
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
34.3%
65.7%
+182
-198
+179
-190
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+116
4
6
-0.42768-0.43635-0.42080
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
48.0%
52.0%
+105
-114
+108
-113
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+164
3
1
-0.73814-0.74360-0.73476
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.