MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels
45.7%
54.3%
-101
-109
+100
-105
-1½+165
+1½-190

1
7
-0.67472-0.68116-0.61092
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
50.8%
49.2%
-113
+105
-110
+107
-1½+140
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-155
8
4
-0.65204-0.65350-0.67818
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
47.0%
53.0%
+103
-113
+109
-110
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
5
-0.65676-0.64890-0.63495
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
-113
+106
-110
+106
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
2
0
-0.64972-0.65583-0.54376
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
57.4%
42.6%
-149
+140
-150
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
10
1
-0.52846-0.51896-0.55474
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
45.5%
54.5%
+134
-140
+138
-144
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+137
19
4
-0.86079-0.87738-0.78823
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
40.5%
59.5%
+141
-151
+140
-145
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+148
6
2
-0.89602-0.88394-0.90298
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.7%
68.3%
+280
-310
+271
-305
+1½+130
-1½-144
+1½+125
-1½-132
2
4
-0.29866-0.30595-0.38097
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
52.1%
47.9%
-114
+108
-115
+113
-1½+140
+1½-153

8
1
-0.64318-0.63006-0.65212
Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals
60.4%
39.6%
-192
+179
-190
+178
-1½-120
+1½+104
-1½-113
+1½+105
4
6
-1.04188-1.03722-0.92700
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
48.9%
51.1%
+108
-116
+110
-115
+1½-180
-1½+163
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
2
-0.75001-0.75294-0.71500
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
60.6%
39.4%
-165
+153
-160
+158
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
2
0
-0.49153-0.48849-0.50015
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
35.1%
64.9%
+201
-220
+205
-208
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-103
5
8
-0.39423-0.39576-0.43297
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
50.9%
49.1%
-155
+145
-153
+146
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-114
4
3
-0.51371-0.51413-0.67537
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
48.5%
51.5%
+104
-113
+110
-113
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
3
-0.73345-0.74862-0.72387
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.4%
55.6%
+182
-193
+182
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-121
-1½+105
4
5
-0.43071-0.43260-0.58726
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.