MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
49.3%
50.7%
+143
-150
+140
-146
+1½-155
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
3
-0.89936-0.88557-0.70719
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
54.6%
45.4%
-147
+137
-150
+140
-1½+100
+1½-112
-1½+100
+1½-118
13
6
-0.53589-0.52736-0.60569
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
41.1%
58.9%
+166
-175
+168
-174
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-129
-1½+120
3
8
-0.46421-0.46221-0.52945
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
+107
-117
+110
-115
+1½-190
-1½+166
+1½-185
-1½+170
4
2
-0.74957-0.75294-0.67293
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
43.5%
56.5%
+160
-174
+161
-170
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-134
-1½+120
4
1
-0.97498-0.97204-0.83172
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
39.2%
60.8%
+204
-215
+199
-210
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-122
-1½+110
0
7
-0.39335-0.40127-0.49694
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.4%
69.6%
+195
-208
+195
-206
+1½-115
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+100
1
3
-0.40677-0.40782-0.36274
Cleveland Guardians
Los Angeles Angels
45.3%
54.7%
+126
-131
+125
-130
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
4
7
-0.57675-0.58016-0.60400
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
71.7%
28.3%
-255
+240
-256
+235
-1½-156
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+145
2
5
-1.23612-1.22642-1.26309
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
49.6%
50.4%
+101
-109
+100
-107


16
4
-0.71701-0.70991-0.70176
Washington Nationals
Chicago Cubs
45.8%
54.2%
+147
-155
+146
-154
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
3
7
-0.51046-0.51309-0.61194
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
49.0%
51.0%
+150
-161
+151
-158
+1½-149
-1½+133
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
1
-0.93300-0.93102-0.71321
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
43.9%
56.1%
+125
-134
+125
-130
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-170
-1½+150
6
3
-0.82789-0.82055-0.82223
St. Louis Cardinals
San Diego Padres
42.1%
57.9%
+100
-106
+101
-108
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+187
3
5
-0.67889-0.67201-0.54600
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
56.9%
43.1%
-195
+181
-195
+180
-1½-123
+1½+108
-1½-115
+1½+105
2
3
-1.04994-1.04762-0.84162
Washington Nationals
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.5%
53.5%
+105
-105
-102
-101
-1½+148
+1½-163

3
0
-0.71785-0.69071-0.76524
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.