MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
41.3%
58.7%
+166
-162
+160
-166
+1½-130
-1½+144
+1½-150
-1½+138
1
3
-0.47499-0.48015-0.53230
Oakland Athletics
Minnesota Twins
52.6%
47.4%
-106
-104
-108
+102
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
6
1
-0.68852-0.66959-0.64226
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
38.0%
62.0%
+193
-210
+200
-215
+1½+104
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
4
10
-0.40801-0.39768-0.47831
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
52.8%
47.2%
+120
-129
+125
-132
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
3
-0.80616-0.82426-0.63862
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
46.2%
53.8%
+132
-138
+136
-144
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+126
5
1
-0.85238-0.87244-0.77243
New York Mets
Tampa Bay Rays
46.4%
53.6%
+142
-151
+147
-152
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
3
-0.52288-0.51355-0.62323
Chicago Cubs
Detroit Tigers
63.6%
36.4%
-145
+138
-144
+136
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
4
2
-0.53645-0.54116-0.45295
Los Angeles Angels
Boston Red Sox
49.9%
50.1%
-103
-104
+101
-106
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+176
3
4
-0.69079-0.67645-0.69153
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
56.3%
43.7%
-165
+153
-160
+158
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
4
-0.49153-0.48849-0.57456
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.1%
39.9%
-186
+171
-184
+175
-1½-121
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
2
3
-1.01611-1.02304-0.91824
Kansas City Royals
Chicago White Sox
36.3%
63.7%
+170
-185
+180
-187
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-115
-1½+131
6
2
-1.01255-1.03829-1.01459
Cleveland Guardians
Seattle Mariners
57.3%
42.7%
-115
+105
-113
+110
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
4
2
-0.64814-0.64059-0.55760
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.9%
48.1%
-123
+113
-119
+115
-1½+135
+1½-151
-1½+139
+1½-150
5
1
-0.61582-0.61841-0.65579
Cincinnati Reds
Colorado Rockies
53.5%
46.5%
-155
+147
-154
+150
-1½-115
+1½+101
-1½-113
+1½+100
8
13
-0.91684-0.92256-0.76574
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
37.9%
62.1%
+184
-200
+185
-200
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
3
4
-0.42407-0.42286-0.47673
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
50.3%
49.7%
-117
+108
-113
+108
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
1
9
-0.75211-0.74360-0.69876
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.