MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
50.6%
49.4%
+103
-109
+105
-108
+1½-195
-1½+176
+1½-190
-1½+175
1
8
-0.66503-0.66240-0.70469
San Francisco Giants
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.6%
40.4%
-146
+137
-145
+137
-1½+100
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-117
3
1
-0.53703-0.53820-0.51693
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
41.4%
58.6%
+113
-121
+116
-120
+1½-180
-1½+164
+1½-180
-1½+173
2
4
-0.61923-0.61452-0.53406
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
43.3%
56.7%
+126
-136
+125
-135
+1½-180
-1½+164
+1½-185
-1½+175
2
0
-0.83393-0.82968-0.83607
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
49.8%
50.2%
-105
-102
+100
-105
+1½-205
-1½+176
+1½-194
-1½+175
3
4
-0.70029-0.68116-0.69015
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
51.9%
48.1%
+107
-109
+100
-105

-1½+155
+1½-165
1
5
-0.65560-0.68116-0.73135
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
41.8%
58.2%
+149
-159
+146
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
8
4
-0.92766-0.91442-0.87287
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.7%
66.3%
+239
-260
+242
-260
+1½+111
-1½-129
+1½+115
-1½-125
1
7
-0.34249-0.33994-0.41062
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
46.9%
53.1%
+113
-121
+115
-121
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
3
2
-0.77297-0.77801-0.75773
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
42.5%
57.5%
+152
-164
+152
-158
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
1
9
-0.49397-0.49956-0.55415
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
46.6%
53.4%
+117
-127
+122
-128
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
8
13
-0.60086-0.58909-0.62682
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
45.0%
55.0%
+161
-173
+164
-175
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
4
-0.47287-0.46703-0.59738
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
49.7%
50.3%
+102
-106
+102
-110
+1½-215
-1½+190

4
1
-0.71266-0.72177-0.69836
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
58.9%
41.1%
-185
+170
-190
+180
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
1
0
-0.45144-0.43510-0.52970
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
46.3%
53.7%
+140
-148
+140
-146
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-133
-1½+120
4
1
-0.88882-0.88557-0.76981
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
56.7%
43.3%
-146
+136
-144
+140
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-115
2
4
-0.87575-0.88228-0.83598
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.