MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 22, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
57.2%
42.8%
-154
+144
-154
+146
-1½+110
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-118
2
3
-0.90800-0.91290-0.84915
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
51.6%
48.4%
-124
+116
-121
+116
-1½+130
+1½-144
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
2
-0.60776-0.61278-0.66120
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
58.4%
41.6%
-147
+137
-146
+140
-1½+120
+1½-136
-1½+119
+1½-130
5
3
-0.53589-0.53184-0.53823
Chicago Cubs
Cleveland Guardians
41.8%
58.2%
+123
-132
+125
-129
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-170
-1½+160
1
2
-0.58118-0.58164-0.54068
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.1%
40.9%
-168
+155
-167
+166
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
5
1
-0.48587-0.47066-0.52655
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
42.0%
58.0%
+166
-180
+161
-170
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
1
7
-0.46045-0.47531-0.54404
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Dodgers
35.8%
64.2%
+209
-223
+213
-237
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-103
-1½-115
4
6
-0.38441-0.37452-0.44296
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.7%
50.3%
-104
-106
+101
-105
+1½-200
-1½+176
+1½-200
-1½+188
3
11
-0.68852-0.67871-0.68736
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
61.2%
38.8%
-167
+154
-160
+155
-1½-110
+1½-102
-1½-110
+1½-103
8
1
-0.48823-0.49303-0.49104
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
45.9%
54.1%
+137
-145
+139
-144
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
1
5
-0.53820-0.53589-0.61484
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
44.6%
55.4%
+100
-109
+105
-107
+1½-195
-1½+176
+1½-190
-1½+184
3
9
-0.67229-0.66458-0.59043
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
48.3%
51.7%
+112
-120
+117
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+173
6
1
-0.76841-0.78704-0.72703
Toronto Blue Jays
Atlanta Braves
45.3%
54.7%
-105
-105
-102
-103
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+148
+1½-160
5
3
-0.69315-0.69557-0.79089
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
44.1%
55.9%
+145
-155
+146
-150
+1½-170
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
3
-0.51371-0.51730-0.58075
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
52.7%
47.3%
-117
+107
-118
+110
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
1
-0.63974-0.63113-0.64065
Oakland Athletics
Boston Red Sox
47.9%
52.1%
+113
-121
+112
-115
+1½-179
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
3
2
-0.77297-0.75796-0.73528
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.