MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
41.4%
58.6%
+140
-144
+135
-144
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
3
11
-0.53416-0.54294-0.53363
Cincinnati Reds
Philadelphia Phillies
47.7%
52.3%
+138
-145
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+140
9
6
-0.87904-0.89199-0.74066
Boston Red Sox
Washington Nationals
50.1%
49.9%
-109
+101
-108
+102
-1½+147
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-165
11
2
-0.66984-0.66959-0.69083
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
25.0%
75.0%
+244
-260
+235
-245
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
2
6
-0.33826-0.35091-0.28766
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
44.5%
55.5%
+116
-122
+112
-116
+1½-195
-1½+173
+1½-197
-1½+180
3
2
-0.78255-0.76012-0.81013
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.9%
49.1%
-112
+110
-115
+112
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
7
2
-0.64257-0.63228-0.67554
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago Cubs
39.4%
60.6%
+117
-126
+120
-127
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+155
0
1
-0.60245-0.59470-0.50155
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Mets
41.0%
59.0%
+139
-146
+137
-145
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
3
-0.53357-0.53820-0.52724
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
46.7%
53.3%
+137
-143
+135
-145
+1½-155
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
1
-0.87326-0.87165-0.76151
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
51.3%
48.7%
-127
+121
-129
+120
-1½+127
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
8
-0.80488-0.80616-0.72013
Detroit Tigers
Washington Nationals
55.0%
45.0%
-129
+123
-128
+123
-1½+133
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
7
11
-0.81369-0.81180-0.79789
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
62.5%
37.5%
-177
+173
-176
+170
-1½-130
+1½+117
-1½-125
+1½+115
6
7
-1.00959-1.00128-0.98206
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
54.3%
45.7%
-108
+101
-108
+100
-1½+152
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
1
4
-0.71474-0.71219-0.78296
Chicago White Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers
30.0%
70.0%
+290
-325
+300
-330
+1½+150
-1½-163
+1½+155
-1½-164
4
5
-0.28916-0.28198-0.35669
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
32.6%
67.4%
+146
-156
+150
-157
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+145
2
3
-0.51108-0.50367-0.39398
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
39.8%
60.2%
+125
-132
+126
-135
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+165
6
5
-0.82426-0.83218-0.92251
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.