MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Diego Padres
37.4%
62.6%
+166
-177
+164
-177
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
2
-0.46269-0.46549-0.46848
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland Athletics
49.8%
50.2%
+108
-117
+110
-117
+1½-190
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+171
4
5
-0.63747-0.63297-0.68818
Tampa Bay Rays
Los Angeles Angels
58.9%
41.1%
-149
+140
-145
+138
-1½+105
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-120
7
3
-0.52846-0.53645-0.52902
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
51.7%
48.3%
-109
+101
-112
+105
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-160
8
6
-0.66984-0.65406-0.66008
New York Mets
St. Louis Cardinals
45.5%
54.5%
+118
-126
+120
-126
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
6
-0.60037-0.59626-0.60649
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
44.2%
55.8%
+165
-179
+163
-175
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
5
6
-0.46259-0.46844-0.58419
Milwaukee Brewers
Philadelphia Phillies
49.3%
50.7%
-111
+104
-108
+105
+1½-215
-1½+188
+1½-215
-1½+195
3
4
-0.72909-0.72486-0.67895
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
45.0%
55.0%
+115
-115
+115
-117
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+165
8
7
-0.76546-0.76975-0.79813
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
55.5%
44.5%
-155
+145
-154
+145
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-120
0
2
-0.91198-0.91046-0.80948
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
38.8%
61.2%
+164
-175
+165
-175
+1½-133
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+122
7
1
-0.98580-0.98819-0.94647
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
43.2%
56.8%
+131
-141
+132
-140
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+140
4
8
-0.55384-0.55326-0.56546
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
41.2%
58.8%
+190
-196
+185
-199
+1½-110
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½-104
5
7
-0.41922-0.42344-0.53106
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
51.9%
48.1%
-119
+109
-118
+112
-1½+133
+1½-145
-1½+132
+1½-145
3
5
-0.75877-0.76430-0.73176
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
39.0%
61.0%
+193
-203
+195
-210
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-108
-1½-110
4
13
-0.41173-0.40573-0.49377
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
45.2%
54.8%
+142
-152
+150
-156
+1½-140
-1½+137
+1½-140
-1½+127
5
0
-0.90002-0.92563-0.79429
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
57.7%
42.3%
-193
+188
-197
+190
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+105
16
4
-0.42339-0.41863-0.54948
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.