MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
50.5%
49.5%
-124
+114
-125
+120
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
4
5
-0.78145-0.79851-0.70368
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
40.3%
59.7%
+148
-158
+152
-158
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
12
13
-0.50587-0.49956-0.51510
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
54.0%
46.0%
-123
+114
-120
+118
-1½+120
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-132
2
7
-0.77949-0.78347-0.77668
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
31.6%
68.4%
+212
-230
+215
-234
+1½+105
-1½-124
+1½+110
-1½-112
0
2
-0.37834-0.37372-0.38016
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.0%
45.0%
-127
+118
-125
+120
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-140
3
0
-0.59878-0.59784-0.59713
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
41.2%
58.8%
+145
-155
+144
-152
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+145
1
3
-0.51371-0.51849-0.53089
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
51.6%
48.4%
-129
+124
-130
+126
-1½+118
+1½-132
-1½+120
+1½-135
10
5
-0.58361-0.57821-0.66118
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
42.7%
57.3%
+167
-173
+162
-170
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
6
-0.46437-0.47387-0.55638
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
39.1%
60.9%
+160
-165
+161
-169
+1½-130
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+130
14
6
-0.96273-0.97067-0.93997
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
54.5%
45.5%
-133
+123
-134
+128
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
5
6
-0.82107-0.83536-0.78726
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
54.2%
45.8%
-123
+116
-120
+116
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-155
5
6
-0.78454-0.77849-0.78030
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
55.8%
44.2%
-175
+168
-174
+162
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+100
6
8
-0.99528-0.97976-0.81665
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.2%
39.8%
-151
+141
-145
+140
-1½+111
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
12
5
-0.52457-0.53299-0.50670
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.2%
53.8%
-106
+100
+100
-107
+1½-190
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
5
4
-0.67889-0.70991-0.77161
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
46.6%
53.4%
-108
-101
-108
+102
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-164
3
1
-0.67690-0.66959-0.76393
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
46.5%
53.5%
+140
-149
+148
-155
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
3
2
-0.89040-0.91925-0.76649
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.