MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
Games for Dec 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
39.9%
60.1%
+170
-185
+170
-184
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-115
-1½+117
8
4
-1.01255-1.01134-0.91782
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
43.9%
56.1%
+156
-169
+161
-162
+1½-130
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
7
-0.48352-0.48221-0.57723
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
52.0%
48.0%
+135
-142
+135
-142
+1½-154
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
11
3
-0.86664-0.86664-0.65354
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
35.0%
65.0%
+195
-209
+200
-215
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-115
4
6
-0.40624-0.39768-0.43015
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
44.9%
55.1%
+135
-145
+138
-143
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
7
-0.54173-0.53883-0.59526
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
50.9%
49.1%
-149
+140
-148
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
4
7
-0.89040-0.88882-0.71147
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
39.0%
61.0%
+179
-188
+180
-190
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
3
-0.43765-0.43510-0.49426
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
45.0%
55.0%
+118
-126
+125
-129
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+156
3
2
-0.79542-0.81867-0.79940
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.8%
50.2%
+117
-126
+115
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
2
7
-0.60245-0.60989-0.68872
Kansas City Royals
Minnesota Twins
41.0%
59.0%
+126
-134
+130
-133
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+145
1
9
-0.57251-0.56627-0.52831
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox
56.5%
43.5%
-140
+131
-135
+128
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+141
+1½-140
5
3
-0.55511-0.56729-0.57112
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
55.6%
44.4%
+102
-105
+100
-104
+1½-210
-1½+180
-1½+161
+1½-170
1
3
-0.67627-0.68349-0.81270
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
56.6%
43.4%
-153
+143
-155
+150
-1½-105
+1½-107
-1½+100
+1½-110
6
1
-0.51909-0.50566-0.56973
Atlanta Braves
Toronto Blue Jays
50.2%
49.8%
+116
-126
+116
-120
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
5
13
-0.60453-0.61452-0.69663
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
46.8%
53.2%
-121
+116
-124
+116
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-145
9
2
-0.61278-0.60776-0.75843
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
44.1%
55.9%
+110
-117
+111
-118
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+162
6
8
-0.63297-0.62891-0.58143
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.