MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 23, 2025
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
25.9%
74.1%
+372
-416
+355
-400
+1½+178
-1½-203
+1½+170
-1½-180
0
10
-0.23332-0.24273-0.29920
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
47.3%
52.7%
-123
+113
-123
+118
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-145
1
2
-0.77696-0.78955-0.64031
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
54.1%
45.9%
-163
+150
-160
+155
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-106
+1½-110
1
2
-0.93586-0.94358-0.77840
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.7%
47.3%
+107
-111
+110
-115
+1½-210
-1½+180

7
3
-0.73666-0.75294-0.64023
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
39.4%
60.6%
+115
-125
+118
-123
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
5
-0.60825-0.60523-0.50068
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
44.1%
55.9%
+141
-151
+140
-145
+1½-166
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+150
0
11
-0.52457-0.53299-0.58118
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
51.8%
48.2%
-106
-101
-103
+100
-1½+141
+1½-155
-1½+143
+1½-150
1
4
-0.70508-0.70051-0.73010
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
62.8%
37.2%
-200
+192
-200
+195
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+115
1
2
-1.08066-1.08743-0.98902
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
44.3%
55.7%
+116
-126
+120
-128
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+155
9
3
-0.79039-0.80428-0.81322
Detroit Tigers
Chicago White Sox
36.8%
63.2%
+188
-197
+180
-190
+1½-134
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+118
1
3
-0.42100-0.43510-0.45891
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
37.3%
62.7%
+149
-160
+152
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+120
1
0
-0.92912-0.92889-0.98594
Philadelphia Phillies
St. Louis Cardinals
50.0%
50.0%
-116
+109
-115
+108
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
4
-0.75256-0.74790-0.69235
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
49.4%
50.6%
+104
-112
+104
-110

-1½+162
+1½-180
3
2
-0.73126-0.72685-0.70502
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
57.0%
43.0%
-182
+170
-180
+170
-1½-124
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+110
3
4
-1.00890-1.00641-0.84497
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
44.6%
55.4%
+133
-143
+132
-138
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
7
-0.54771-0.55582-0.59099
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.8%
47.2%
-155
+145
-155
+146
-1½-101
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
12
3
-0.51371-0.51208-0.63870
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.