MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
38.5%
61.5%
+149
-161
+153
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+138
8
0
-0.93057-0.93879-0.95506
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
53.1%
46.9%
-106
-101
-105
+103
-1½+144
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-164
2
1
-0.68136-0.67383-0.63375
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
43.2%
56.8%
+180
-196
+180
-195
+1½-115
-1½-101
+1½-120
-1½+105
7
8
-0.43137-0.43197-0.56482
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
57.9%
42.1%
-160
+148
-160
+152
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-108
2
4
-0.92669-0.93639-0.86560
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
47.3%
52.7%
-120
+110
-119
+112
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
+1½-150
3
5
-0.76336-0.76638-0.64145
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
52.9%
47.1%
-103
-105
-104
-105

-1½+160
+1½-175
3
2
-0.69788-0.69549-0.63762
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.3%
52.7%
+113
-123
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+176
8
7
-0.77696-0.78001-0.74881
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
40.2%
59.8%
+167
-182
+170
-185
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+122
7
0
-1.00179-1.01255-0.91078
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
47.9%
52.1%
+144
-154
+150
-156
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+134
3
4
-0.51639-0.50464-0.65272
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
48.1%
51.9%
+100
-109
+106
-110
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
2
12
-0.67229-0.65583-0.65631
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
45.2%
54.8%
-133
+123
-132
+125
-1½+135
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-146
6
0
-0.57975-0.57725-0.79323
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
41.3%
58.7%
+112
-121
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+171
+1½-185
-1½+170
2
5
-0.62140-0.61667-0.53307
Pittsburgh Pirates
Minnesota Twins
38.8%
61.2%
+170
-184
+176
-185
+1½-120
-1½+104
+1½-115
-1½+100
6
2
-1.01134-1.02661-0.94721
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
50.9%
49.1%
+132
-140
+130
-136
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.85583-0.84390-0.67482
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
40.6%
59.4%
+163
-175
+165
-175
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+120
4
8
-0.46844-0.46561-0.52167
Arizona Diamondbacks
Atlanta Braves
47.5%
52.5%
+118
-128
+120
-128
+1½-180
-1½+166
+1½-195
-1½+180
5
0
-0.79924-0.80428-0.74526
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.