MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
49.9%
50.1%
-114
+107
-115
+106
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
1
0
-0.64546-0.64582-0.69507
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
50.4%
49.6%
-123
+114
-120
+116
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
7
-0.77949-0.77849-0.70164
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox
45.1%
54.9%
+171
-186
+180
-185
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½-101
3
5
-0.44942-0.43838-0.59978
Kansas City Royals
Detroit Tigers
58.9%
41.1%
-114
+106
-114
+105
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
4
0
-0.64777-0.65009-0.52982
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
40.2%
59.8%
+136
-145
+140
-145
+1½-155
-1½+138
+1½-155
-1½+148
0
4
-0.53996-0.53299-0.51450
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
49.9%
50.1%
-120
+113
-115
+114
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+131
+1½-140
1
8
-0.77096-0.76297-0.69093
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.8%
63.2%
+135
-143
+138
-143
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
5
-0.54412-0.53883-0.45958
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
38.8%
61.2%
+145
-150
+145
-147
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
5
2
-0.90421-0.89938-0.94755
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
55.0%
45.0%
-175
+161
-174
+163
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
7
5
-0.47130-0.46922-0.59711
Texas Rangers
Chicago White Sox
42.4%
57.6%
+153
-160
+160
-170
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
2
-0.49610-0.47678-0.55215
Oakland Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
56.8%
43.2%
-157
+149
-155
+155
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
7
2
-0.50526-0.49784-0.56519
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Rays
45.9%
54.1%
+125
-133
+128
-130
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
5
-0.57583-0.57435-0.61343
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
51.7%
48.3%
-116
+113
-112
+110
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+165
+1½-175
2
1
-0.62818-0.64257-0.65878
Cincinnati Reds
St. Louis Cardinals
48.0%
52.0%
+100
-107
+105
-110
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-185
-1½+175
0
2
-0.67666-0.65817-0.65473
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
48.1%
51.9%
+135
-142
+141
-147
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+140
2
16
-0.54535-0.52899-0.65601
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
42.7%
57.3%
+176
-190
+175
-185
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
7
1
-1.03257-1.02427-0.85191
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.