MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
45.3%
54.7%
+123
-128
+123
-128
+1½-173
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
3
-0.81180-0.81180-0.79133
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.8%
55.2%
+113
-119
+116
-125
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-165
-1½+160
2
8
-0.62273-0.60613-0.59504
Houston Astros
Colorado Rockies
60.7%
39.3%
-135
+129
-136
+132
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-115
6
5
-0.56539-0.55846-0.49931
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago Cubs
38.0%
62.0%
+182
-188
+180
-195
+1½-123
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
5
-0.43388-0.43197-0.47854
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
36.7%
63.3%
+168
-178
+167
-180
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
10
-0.45917-0.45907-0.45661
Los Angeles Angels
Atlanta Braves
40.2%
59.8%
+185
-190
+188
-200
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½-105
4
0
-1.05334-1.07160-0.91232
Cincinnati Reds
Boston Red Sox
46.3%
53.7%
+106
-115
+110
-113
+1½-185
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
5
-0.64582-0.64059-0.62120
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
38.4%
61.6%
+153
-159
+156
-164
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-130
-1½+125
4
3
-0.93734-0.95176-0.95651
Minnesota Twins
Miami Marlins
57.8%
42.2%
-133
+124
-134
+124
-1½+127
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
0
2
-0.82357-0.82538-0.86185
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
40.7%
59.3%
+138
-147
+140
-150
+1½-153
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
1
-0.53415-0.52736-0.52209
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
55.1%
44.9%
-153
+148
-154
+152
-1½+102
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
5
12
-0.91619-0.92738-0.80060
Kansas City Royals
Seattle Mariners
43.4%
56.6%
+140
-149
+140
-150
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
2
6
-0.52846-0.52736-0.56840
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
54.7%
45.3%
-140
+133
-143
+133
-1½+118
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
4
-0.85830-0.86339-0.79272
Baltimore Orioles
Texas Rangers
50.7%
49.3%
-108
-101
-107
+100
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
10
6
-0.67690-0.67666-0.67968
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
52.0%
48.0%
+102
-107
+100
-108

+1½-200
-1½+185
0
7
-0.67178-0.67446-0.73480
Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays
34.0%
66.0%
+164
-174
+162
-174
+1½-133
-1½+117
+1½-120
-1½+120
6
4
-0.98452-0.97976-1.07840
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.