MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays
45.0%
55.0%
-110
+105
-108
+100
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-165
3
4
-0.72981-0.71255-0.59853
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
44.1%
55.9%
+120
-127
+118
-125
+1½-166
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
3
-0.80399-0.79500-0.81966
Houston Astros
Texas Rangers
58.4%
41.6%
-136
+130
-135
+128
-1½+114
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
1
6
-0.84569-0.83917-0.87676
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
46.4%
53.6%
+115
-115
+114
-117
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
5
-0.62571-0.62373-0.62388
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
50.3%
49.7%
-124
+135
-127
+120
-1½+150
+1½-155
-1½+147
+1½-155
3
5
-0.83016-0.80399-0.69949
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
33.9%
66.1%
+135
-141
+134
-136
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+164
5
1
-0.86695-0.85440-1.08069
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
54.5%
45.5%
-143
+140
-140
+135
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-170
3
4
-0.88165-0.86488-0.78722
Miami Marlins
New York Yankees
32.9%
67.1%
+220
-230
+215
-230
+1½+125
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-125
4
11
-0.36782-0.37141-0.39897
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
38.2%
61.8%
+192
-200
+190
-195
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+112
5
6
-0.41234-0.41840-0.48132
Colorado Rockies
Arizona Diamondbacks
44.1%
55.9%
+150
-133
+130
-134
+1½-155
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
11
-0.53544-0.56398-0.58234
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.6%
65.4%
+190
-200
+191
-210
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
5
9
-0.41412-0.40513-0.42494
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
35.5%
64.5%
+190
-195
+190
-205
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-105
-1½-103
1
3
-0.41840-0.41000-0.43875
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
46.1%
53.9%
-101
+100
+100
-102
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+196
9
1
-0.69067-0.69812-0.77540
Cincinnati Reds
Minnesota Twins
42.6%
57.4%
+145
-153
+145
-154
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
7
2
-0.91202-0.91397-0.85303
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
54.5%
45.5%
-161
+155
-165
+160
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-110
10
0
-0.49045-0.47963-0.60635
Detroit Tigers
Kansas City Royals
41.8%
58.2%
+140
-143
+135
-142
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
3
-0.53459-0.54364-0.54103
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.