MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
48.1%
51.9%
+125
-127
+122
-128
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4
5
-0.58426-0.58792-0.65660
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
48.3%
51.7%
+125
-126
+118
-124
+1½-175
-1½+155

3
2
-0.81315-0.79281-0.72853
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
38.4%
61.6%
+225
-241
+216
-240
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-125
5
4
-1.20241-1.18649-0.95784
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.4%
38.6%
-155
+150
-157
+150
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
0
7
-0.92614-0.92998-0.95285
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
44.1%
55.9%
+180
-182
+177
-181
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+110
2
7
-0.43985-0.44385-0.58248
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.8%
63.2%
+160
-162
+154
-157
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
6
4
-0.95933-0.93803-0.99834
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
49.8%
50.2%
-126
+125
-127
+120
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
3
12
-0.81315-0.80399-0.69009
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
30.5%
69.5%
+305
-325
+285
-315
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+140
-1½-150
6
7
-0.27589-0.28815-0.36432
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
40.3%
59.7%
+160
-166
+155
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
1
9
-0.47849-0.49166-0.51515
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
52.2%
47.8%
-136
+130
-140
+135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-125
8
5
-0.56082-0.54663-0.65043
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
30.0%
70.0%
+155
-162
+161
-162
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+126
4
9
-0.48926-0.48193-0.35682
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
64.5%
35.5%
-250
+230
-240
+224
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+145
1
2
-1.22292-1.19938-1.03552
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
44.7%
55.3%
+160
-168
+158
-165
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
1
6
-0.47621-0.48204-0.59191
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
62.5%
37.5%
-208
+195
-200
+195
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+107
2
3
-1.10313-1.09017-0.97955
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
56.5%
43.5%
-219
+205
-213
+200
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-146
+1½+135
1
14
-1.13731-1.11960-0.83234
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
40.9%
59.1%
+145
-151
+147
-151
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+128
3
7
-0.51631-0.51356-0.52553
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.