MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
43.8%
56.2%
+155
-161
+154
-160
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
3
-0.49045-0.49292-0.57590
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
48.4%
51.6%
-159
+155
-160
+151
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-110
12
3
-0.49287-0.49679-0.72652
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
36.9%
63.1%
+160
-160
+155
-162
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
5
2
-0.95550-0.94954-0.99826
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
46.5%
53.5%
+155
-155
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
5
-0.49784-0.49809-0.62497
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.4%
60.6%
+170
-172
+167
-172
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+120
2
7
-0.46047-0.46377-0.50163
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
36.6%
63.4%
+155
-160
+151
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+125
0
7
-0.49166-0.50299-0.45511
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
57.3%
42.7%
-200
+186
-195
+180
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-120
+1½+102
6
1
-0.41778-0.42780-0.55603
Los Angeles Angels
San Diego Padres
37.6%
62.4%
+150
-154
+149
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
4
2
-0.92420-0.92412-0.97782
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
44.7%
55.3%
-101
+100
-103
-105
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
5
0
-0.69067-0.69798-0.80412
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
33.6%
66.4%
+170
-175
+175
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4
5
-0.45728-0.44690-0.40982
Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
50.8%
49.2%
+105
-109
+104
-110
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3
8
-0.65996-0.66008-0.70930
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
48.6%
51.4%
-138
+135
-133
+130
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-142
2
5
-0.86074-0.83938-0.66524
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
38.4%
61.6%
+150
-157
+152
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
1
11
-0.50178-0.49548-0.48389
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.8%
39.2%
-155
+150
-152
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-120
2
3
-0.92614-0.91006-0.93749
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
44.8%
55.2%
+145
-150
+142
-150
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+141
3
2
-0.90614-0.89990-0.80397
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
63.7%
36.3%
-270
+250
-270
+242
-1½-175
+1½+165
-1½-175
+1½+160
12
1
-0.32572-0.33037-0.45045
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.