MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
43.8%
56.2%
+120
-121
+115
-120
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
5
-0.60426-0.61587-0.57549
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.3%
49.7%
-127
+125
-127
+122
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
7
8
-0.81534-0.80858-0.69836
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
58.8%
41.2%
-200
+190
-200
+185
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½+102
1
5
-1.08152-1.07262-0.88722
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
51.0%
49.0%
+115
-113
+108
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
7
2
-0.76078-0.74648-0.67395
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
55.7%
44.3%
-117
+120
-124
+117
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-140
1
6
-0.78156-0.79047-0.81376
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
55.8%
44.2%
-180
+175
-180
+175
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
1
4
-1.02057-1.02057-0.81681
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
47.5%
52.5%
+175
-182
+174
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-126
-1½+115
2
1
-1.02410-1.01874-0.74486
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
33.8%
66.2%
+155
-160
+152
-161
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+114
4
5
-0.49166-0.49426-0.41183
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.2%
39.8%
-145
+140
-142
+140
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
0
-0.53174-0.53606-0.50722
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
50.5%
49.5%
+120
-124
+117
-124
+1½-180
-1½+164
+1½-178
-1½+165
3
6
-0.59873-0.60446-0.70346
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
52.8%
47.2%
-142
+140
-142
+135
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
11
-0.87960-0.86898-0.75071
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians
43.9%
56.1%
-103
+100
-101
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
4
7
-0.70055-0.68349-0.57743
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
56.1%
43.9%
-155
+150
-151
+146
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½+100
1
5
-0.92614-0.91018-0.82282
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
33.4%
66.6%
+205
-210
+198
-210
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-110
5
8
-0.39337-0.39909-0.40659
Minnesota Twins
Chicago Cubs
44.3%
55.7%
+145
-153
+150
-152
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
4
0
-0.91202-0.92027-0.81394
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.1%
52.9%
+130
-138
+130
-135
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
15
0
-0.84987-0.84362-0.75317
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.