MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.2%
60.8%
+145
-148
+142
-145
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
7
2
-0.90217-0.88992-0.93588
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
62.2%
37.8%
-260
+250
-268
+245
-1½-163
+1½+150
-1½-160
+1½+145
7
4
-0.33094-0.32962-0.47443
San Francisco Giants
Oakland Athletics
35.3%
64.7%
+170
-175
+170
-179
+1½-128
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
14
2
-1.00239-1.00953-1.04069
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
61.9%
38.1%
-158
+155
-158
+150
-1½+100
+1½-117
-1½+112
+1½-120
2
1
-0.49410-0.50055-0.47896
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
70.2%
29.8%
-183
+180
-190
+175
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-133
+1½+120
3
6
-1.03493-1.03778-1.21016
Toronto Blue Jays
Philadelphia Phillies
47.0%
53.0%
-115
+110
-113
+106


6
3
-0.63612-0.64905-0.75462
Arizona Diamondbacks
Houston Astros
39.9%
60.1%
+185
-195
+180
-195
+1½-110
-1½-107
+1½-114
-1½+100
2
3
-0.42301-0.42780-0.50951
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
47.5%
52.5%
+155
-160
+153
-155
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
3
5
-0.49166-0.50040-0.64344
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
52.3%
47.7%
-146
+140
-140
+135
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-150
1
2
-0.88773-0.86488-0.74101
Cleveland Guardians
Detroit Tigers
56.0%
44.0%
-181
+175
-188
+180
-1½-116
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+105
7
4
-0.44591-0.43414-0.57971
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
51.3%
48.7%
+115
-121
+115
-120
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
7
0
-0.77914-0.77690-0.66781
Chicago White Sox
Cincinnati Reds
50.1%
49.9%
+120
-126
+120
-128
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+165
3
7
-0.59513-0.59162-0.69557
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
59.1%
40.9%
-188
+180
-190
+180
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
+1½+115
2
10
-1.04361-1.04700-0.89468
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
57.5%
42.5%
-145
+140
-145
+138
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-115
1
2
-0.88571-0.88148-0.85456
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
61.3%
38.7%
-160
+155
-160
+153
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-115
1
4
-0.94575-0.94176-0.95021
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
44.9%
55.1%
+150
-155
+148
-155
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
4
-0.50431-0.50698-0.59542
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.