MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Jan 24, 2026
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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
63.1%
36.9%
-157
+155
-158
+152
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+141
+1½-150
11
0
-0.49535-0.49794-0.46024
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
30.3%
69.7%
+230
-245
+239
-250
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-113
0
6
-0.35160-0.34298-0.36055
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
65.1%
34.9%
-235
+215
-235
+215
-1½-155
+1½+145
-1½-145
+1½+140
2
5
-1.17769-1.17769-1.05360
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
49.7%
50.3%
-124
+115
-123
+115
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
5
8
-0.78575-0.78355-0.68774
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
39.9%
60.1%
+171
-181
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+110
1
6
-0.45011-0.45216-0.50908
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
33.7%
66.3%
+180
-190
+179
-194
+1½-105
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+102
4
3
-1.04703-1.05188-1.08723
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
49.9%
50.1%
-102
+100
+100
-105
-1½+156
+1½-170

6
7
-0.69810-0.68102-0.69195
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
32.2%
67.8%
+210
-220
+200
-220
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-115
11
1
-1.14715-1.13038-1.13370
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
51.9%
48.1%
-145
+140
-146
+140
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
7
6
-0.53174-0.53033-0.65589
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
41.3%
58.7%
+180
-186
+175
-186
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+118
6
3
-1.04018-1.03103-0.88370
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
59.3%
40.7%
-156
+155
-154
+149
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-105
6
2
-0.49658-0.50693-0.52281
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
46.4%
53.6%
+140
-144
+140
-143
+1½-150
-1½+136
+1½-154
-1½+135
1
3
-0.53316-0.53459-0.62286
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
34.3%
65.7%
+210
-216
+205
-214
+1½-122
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+114
2
12
-0.38496-0.39034-0.41966
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
41.1%
58.9%
+130
-133
+126
-135
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
1
10
-0.56560-0.56916-0.52986
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
64.7%
35.3%
-310
+280
-298
+280
-1½-192
+1½+170
-1½-178
+1½+165
6
4
-0.29240-0.29734-0.43564
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
41.4%
58.6%
+170
-180
+165
-178
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-123
-1½+105
2
3
-0.45216-0.45970-0.53450
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.