MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
44.0%
56.0%
+145
-149
+140
-150
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+146
3
0
-0.90416-0.89568-0.82171
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
34.4%
65.6%
+165
-171
+163
-174
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
3
5
-0.46710-0.46616-0.42219
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
53.9%
46.1%
-112
+110
-114
+106
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-150
3
7
-0.74665-0.74156-0.77455
Baltimore Orioles
New York Mets
38.5%
61.5%
+175
-181
+172
-183
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-121
-1½+110
6
7
-0.44590-0.44707-0.48638
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
39.7%
60.3%
+135
-134
+130
-135
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
9
29
-0.55589-0.56238-0.50562
Chicago White Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.0%
42.0%
-155
+150
-152
+146
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-105
8
1
-0.50431-0.51361-0.54457
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
48.8%
51.2%
-147
+140
-142
+137
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+120
+1½-128
7
2
-0.52894-0.54056-0.71744
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Guardians
38.2%
61.8%
+195
-210
+190
-205
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-115
-1½+102
3
0
-1.10630-1.08960-0.96205
Milwaukee Brewers
Detroit Tigers
48.5%
51.5%
-147
+145
-150
+145
-1½+113
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
19
0
-0.52173-0.51765-0.72404
Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants
42.2%
57.8%
+155
-157
+150
-154
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-144
-1½+130
5
6
-0.49533-0.50559-0.54867
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
68.5%
31.5%
-230
+220
-240
+225
-1½-155
+1½+145
-1½-150
+1½+140
10
9
-0.36784-0.35798-0.37879
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
40.3%
59.7%
+140
-144
+137
-145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
5
4
-0.88370-0.87936-0.91001
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
35.3%
64.7%
+210
-230
+212
-236
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+112
-1½-120
5
14
-0.37513-0.36970-0.43556
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
46.8%
53.2%
-105
+105
-107
+101
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
0
3
-0.71785-0.71274-0.63164
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
53.7%
46.3%
-126
+120
-124
+119
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-143
1
7
-0.80180-0.79511-0.77061
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
41.3%
58.7%
+155
-164
+155
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
5
2
-0.95329-0.94575-0.88448
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.