MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
49.6%
50.4%
+100
+100
+100
-107
+1½-210
-1½+181
+1½-205
-1½+181
9
10
-0.69315-0.67637-0.68593
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
63.3%
36.7%
-220
+205
-220
+205
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-142
+1½+135
5
3
-0.38594-0.38594-0.45749
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
55.5%
44.5%
-122
+120
-120
+112
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-140
6
2
-0.60239-0.62200-0.58864
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
36.9%
63.1%
+205
-215
+200
-210
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
7
3
-1.13116-1.11489-0.99696
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
44.9%
55.1%
+105
-109
+103
-106
+1½-225
-1½+200
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
2
-0.72747-0.71535-0.80087
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
49.7%
50.3%
+115
-117
+105
-112
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
4
8
-0.62170-0.65345-0.68633
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
47.2%
52.8%
+135
-138
+133
-138
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
6
5
-0.86074-0.85644-0.75076
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
29.7%
70.3%
+210
-230
+215
-236
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-123
6
10
-0.37513-0.36750-0.35300
San Diego Padres
Oakland Athletics
47.4%
52.6%
+140
-143
+135
-143
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
-1½+150
7
0
-0.88167-0.87103-0.74716
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
65.5%
34.5%
-170
+160
-160
+156
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+107
+1½-115
3
6
-0.97418-0.94770-1.06372
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners
51.2%
48.8%
+120
-121
+117
-125
+1½-180
-1½+163
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
6
-0.60426-0.60263-0.71680
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
51.8%
48.2%
-109
+105
-109
+102
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+146
+1½-160
5
6
-0.72745-0.71998-0.72985
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
47.4%
52.6%
+135
-137
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+155
1
4
-0.55118-0.55464-0.64335
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
55.7%
44.3%
-161
+155
-160
+152
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½+100
7
4
-0.49045-0.49549-0.58449
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
42.0%
58.0%
+129
-133
+130
-138
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
3
2
-0.83718-0.84987-0.86862
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
38.7%
61.3%
+170
-177
+165
-175
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
10
9
-1.00597-0.99290-0.95024
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.