MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
34.9%
65.1%
+195
-200
+185
-200
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
4
3
-1.09020-1.07265-1.05225
Milwaukee Brewers
Cleveland Guardians
41.1%
58.9%
+135
-141
+132
-140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
7
1
-0.86695-0.85838-0.88909
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
52.2%
47.8%
+130
-135
+125
-133
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-148
-1½+135
5
3
-0.84362-0.82826-0.65011
Miami Marlins
Tampa Bay Rays
39.0%
61.0%
+125
-131
+120
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-174
-1½+160
4
5
-0.57745-0.58819-0.49505
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
57.6%
42.4%
-150
+145
-146
+138
-1½+125
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-138
6
5
-0.51765-0.53331-0.55116
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
57.9%
42.1%
-152
+145
-148
+142
-1½+118
+1½-125
-1½+125
+1½-135
3
2
-0.51500-0.52462-0.54588
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
31.2%
68.8%
+165
-170
+163
-165
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+130
1
7
-0.46818-0.47609-0.37325
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
54.1%
45.9%
-109
+110
-109
+105
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+151
+1½-160
8
7
-0.64880-0.65998-0.61358
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.8%
39.2%
-173
+170
-179
+165
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-115
4
2
-0.45940-0.45869-0.49776
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
37.5%
62.5%
+160
-165
+156
-160
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+140
0
2
-0.47963-0.49040-0.46962
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.2%
72.8%
+262
-290
+260
-284
+1½+145
-1½-150
+1½+135
-1½-143
1
5
-0.30968-0.31348-0.31721
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals
52.8%
47.2%
-136
+130
-134
+130
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+116
+1½-120
11
6
-0.56082-0.56400-0.63957
Toronto Blue Jays
Boston Red Sox
50.9%
49.1%
-118
+115
-115
+108
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+127
+1½-135
6
2
-0.61975-0.64044-0.67598
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Angels
52.5%
47.5%
-140
+135
-140
+132
-1½+105
+1½-119
-1½+107
+1½-120
0
2
-0.86488-0.85838-0.74499
New York Yankees
New York Mets
49.2%
50.8%
+105
-108
+105
-110
+1½-198
-1½+173
-1½+155
+1½-170
7
9
-0.66221-0.65776-0.67637
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
42.6%
57.4%
+165
-170
+162
-174
+1½-119
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+107
5
6
-0.46818-0.46732-0.55530
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.