MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
New York Mets
47.1%
52.9%
+106
-114
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+180
0
4
-0.64777-0.64972-0.63618
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
44.8%
55.2%
+121
-130
+122
-125
+1½-180
-1½+173
+1½-180
-1½+165
1
10
-0.58810-0.59377-0.59381
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
38.3%
61.7%
+157
-167
+162
-168
+1½-138
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
12
5
-0.95836-0.97170-0.95946
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
67.3%
32.7%
-270
+244
-280
+255
-1½-190
+1½+173
-1½-200
+1½+190
3
1
-0.33530-0.32375-0.39552
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
56.6%
43.4%
-129
+122
-133
+125
-1½+122
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-134
3
0
-0.58758-0.57583-0.56969
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
43.0%
57.0%
+137
-143
+143
-147
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
2
-0.54058-0.52560-0.56263
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
53.8%
46.2%
-119
+109
-120
+111
-1½+137
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
4
0
-0.63156-0.62534-0.61975
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians
48.4%
51.6%
+123
-132
+130
-135
+1½-180
-1½+167
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
0
-0.81925-0.84211-0.72615
Oakland Athletics
Detroit Tigers
39.9%
60.1%
+139
-147
+137
-150
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+152
0
8
-0.53242-0.53253-0.50836
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
31.8%
68.2%
+200
-214
+200
-220
+1½-118
-1½+103
+1½-110
-1½+105
8
5
-1.11337-1.11923-1.14548
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
76.8%
23.2%
-310
+273
-291
+270
-1½-210
+1½+186
-1½-230
+1½+195
8
1
-0.30350-0.30979-0.26343
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
56.7%
43.3%
-142
+138
-151
+140
-1½+112
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
0
2
-0.87402-0.89355-0.83635
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
54.2%
45.8%
-151
+141
-152
+145
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-120
8
0
-0.52457-0.51683-0.61181
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
43.4%
56.6%
+105
-112
+110
-113
+1½-200
-1½+178
+1½-200
-1½+185
0
2
-0.65406-0.64059-0.56946
Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
52.1%
47.9%
-117
+116
-127
+118
-1½+139
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
3
0
-0.61986-0.59878-0.65172
New York Yankees
Cincinnati Reds
61.0%
39.0%
-195
+184
-205
+190
-1½-130
+1½+119
-1½-130
+1½+120
7
1
-0.42702-0.41412-0.49372
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.