MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
60.5%
39.5%
-187
+177
-190
+180
-1½-114
+1½+110
-1½-118
+1½+105
4
1
-0.44086-0.43510-0.50228
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
67.9%
32.1%
-187
+177
-197
+185
-1½-135
+1½+122
-1½-137
+1½+130
7
8
-1.03136-1.06140-1.13734
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
39.5%
60.5%
+136
-146
+137
-146
+1½-158
-1½+142
+1½-155
-1½+140
16
3
-0.87575-0.87822-0.92763
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
27.9%
72.1%
+185
-200
+194
-208
+1½-113
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½-105
3
4
-0.42286-0.40791-0.32716
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
68.5%
31.5%
-178
+175
-185
+175
-1½-119
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+125
10
7
-0.44976-0.44482-0.37896
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros
38.7%
61.3%
+156
-163
+153
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
2
10
-0.48875-0.49610-0.48959
Texas Rangers
Minnesota Twins
42.9%
57.1%
+132
-141
+131
-140
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
2
6
-0.55199-0.55511-0.56059
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
52.8%
47.2%
-122
+116
-122
+113
-1½+135
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
6
3
-0.61109-0.61750-0.63841
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
49.2%
50.8%
+113
-120
+111
-118
+1½-173
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
3
4
-0.62096-0.62891-0.67645
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
37.6%
62.4%
+236
-260
+239
-270
+1½+115
-1½-128
+1½+115
-1½-130
0
5
-0.34507-0.33949-0.47135
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
53.1%
46.9%
+125
-131
+125
-130
+1½-175
-1½+161
+1½-170
-1½+160
1
10
-0.57869-0.58016-0.75756
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
50.9%
49.1%
-144
+138
-146
+143
-1½+107
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-118
5
2
-0.53763-0.52672-0.67470
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
47.6%
52.4%
+137
-147
+136
-150
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-152
-1½+145
5
6
-0.53589-0.53428-0.64693
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
53.8%
46.2%
+101
-109
+102
-107

-1½+158
+1½-165
2
5
-0.66984-0.67178-0.77195
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
43.7%
56.3%
+123
-130
+125
-135
+1½-173
-1½+159
+1½-165
-1½+152
5
2
-0.81556-0.82968-0.82682
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
51.9%
48.1%
-178
+170
-175
+168
-1½-103
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-110
6
2
-0.45643-0.46143-0.65550
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.