MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 21, 2025
Games for Dec 23, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
39.9%
60.1%
+135
-142
+134
-142
+1½-161
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
3
2
-0.86664-0.86417-0.91937
Detroit Tigers
Baltimore Orioles
51.5%
48.5%
+122
-129
+117
-125
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
3
-0.81119-0.79098-0.66287
Seattle Mariners
Arizona Diamondbacks
36.4%
63.6%
+143
-153
+151
-157
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
8
-0.51909-0.50210-0.45245
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
49.3%
50.7%
-125
+116
-123
+116
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-155
8
7
-0.60613-0.60941-0.70749
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
42.0%
58.0%
+126
-136
+128
-134
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
7
-0.56976-0.56867-0.54492
Toronto Blue Jays
St. Louis Cardinals
49.3%
50.7%
+110
-115
+111
-116
+1½-190
-1½+173
+1½-180
-1½+170
5
4
-0.75294-0.75760-0.70680
Atlanta Braves
Milwaukee Brewers
54.9%
45.1%
-161
+154
-170
+164
-1½+105
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
7
1
-0.49362-0.47101-0.60019
Miami Marlins
Pittsburgh Pirates
46.5%
53.5%
+112
-119
+116
-120
+1½-190
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
10
-0.62491-0.61452-0.62626
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
53.3%
46.7%
-106
-102
-108
-101

+1½-210
-1½+190
10
8
-0.68377-0.67690-0.62890
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
46.1%
53.9%
+111
-117
+114
-118
+1½-190
-1½+175
+1½-180
-1½+160
3
4
-0.63074-0.62235-0.61808
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Guardians
41.6%
58.4%
+137
-143
+139
-150
+1½-153
-1½+149
+1½-150
-1½+150
7
4
-0.87326-0.88953-0.87801
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
35.4%
64.6%
+210
-230
+215
-230
+1½+110
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-120
11
7
-1.15078-1.16174-1.03781
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
51.7%
48.3%
-116
+114
-122
+114
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
3
2
-0.62601-0.61535-0.65973
Baltimore Orioles
Oakland Athletics
58.1%
41.9%
-116
+107
-114
+110
-1½+127
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
1
5
-0.74748-0.75080-0.86938
Atlanta Braves
San Francisco Giants
48.7%
51.3%
-125
+118
-121
+115
-1½+137
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
4
-0.79350-0.77801-0.66730
Texas Rangers
Washington Nationals
54.7%
45.3%
-120
+113
-124
+114
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-145
4
2
-0.62096-0.61201-0.60393
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.