Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
44.4%55.6%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.37Projected Runs 3.95
4Final Score 2
Rank11
R/G4.9
RA/G3.8
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.4
Rank11
R/G4.9
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-45.891.473

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-23.931.282

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 5-4 at Cleveland GuardiansCIN: Connor Overton • CLE: Zach Plesac+145
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Hunter Greene • PIT: Jose Quintana+140
L 1-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson-119
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker+128
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Connor Overton • CLE: Zach Plesac-146
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Joe Ryan+135
W 3-2 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-126
L 8-12 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Aaron Civale • MIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 1-4 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Cal Quantrill • CHW: Lucas Giolito+175

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • RFJosh Naylor10-day IL
NW 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From LeftModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)64°67°68°71°
Humidity80%74%69%63%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 6 mphNW 5 mphNNW 6 mphS 5 mph
Jerry Meals
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+114+113+121+118+121+121+121+123.5
Guardians-124-135-131-128-131-131-128-123.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+120+125+115+118+118+120+125+123.5
Guardians-130-135-126-128-128-130-126-123.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +120 to +109
Guardians ML moved from -125 to -132

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reds: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +120 to +110
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-190+1½-180+1½-176+1½-180+1½-176+1½-176+1½-176+1½-166
Guardians-1½+165-1½+155-1½+156-1½+158-1½+156-1½+156-1½+158-1½+166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-185+1½-180+1½-186+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-166
Guardians-1½+165-1½+160-1½+164-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+164-1½+166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8+100
Underu8-115u8-110u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-110o8-120o8-105o8-120o8-110o8-105o8+100
Underu8-115u8-110u8+100u8-115u8+100u8-110u8+100u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-104 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8-115 to u8-125