NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 5, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Howard Bison (20-10)
Norfolk State Spartans (15-15)
64.5%
35.5%
-285
+235
-250
+235
-6-110
+6½-105
-5½-109
+6-105
74.6
69.9
144.5
o149-110
u149½-105
o148½-110
u149-110
Delaware State Hornets (6-22)
MD E Shore Fighting Hawks (9-21)
28.0%
72.0%
+195
-235
+220
-250
+5½-110
-5½-108
+5½-105
-5-110
60.6
67.3
127.9
o124½-115
u125-110
o124-110
u124½-110
Bethune Cookman Wildcats (17-13)
Florida A&M Rattlers (13-15)
60.7%
39.3%

-145
+125
-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-109
+2½-109
75.5
72.0
147.5
o146-110
u146-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Michigan Wolverines (27-2)
Iowa Hawkeyes (20-9)
77.8%
22.2%
-420
+330
-410
+360
-9-105
+9-110
-8½-110
+9-109
78.1
69.7
147.8
o147-107
u147½-115
o146½-110
u147-110
Prairie View A&M Panthers (13-17)
Texas Southern Tigers (12-16)
38.6%
61.4%
+106
-125
+115
-130
+2-110
-2-105
+2-109
-2-105
77.0
80.8
157.8
o154-110
u154-110
o153-110
u154½-110
Grambling State Tigers (12-18)
Alabama State Hornets (10-20)
45.0%
55.0%
+130
-145
+120
-135
+2½-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-109
71.4
73.4
144.8
o144½-110
u144½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
Coppin State Eagles (7-23)
Morgan State Bears (13-15)
26.0%
74.0%
+220
-270
+245
-250
+6-110
-6-110
+6½-110
-6-105
70.5
78.0
148.5
o149½-115
u149½-105
o149-110
u150-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (18-11)
Missouri State Bears (13-16)
56.8%
43.2%
-120
+105
-120
+115
-1-110
+1-103
-1½-109
+2-110
75.9
73.3
149.2
o153½-101
u153-110
o152½-110
u153-110
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (12-17)
Michigan State Spartans (24-5)
5.1%
94.9%
+1550
-4500
+1800
-3800
+20-110
-19½-110
+20-109
-19½-110
61.9
78.8
140.7
o141½-110
u142-110
o142-110
u143-110
Overall Bet Value Active
UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13)
Tarleton State Texans (14-16)
48.7%
51.3%
+110
-120
+110
-115
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
-1-110
68.7
69.3
138.0
o136-110
u136-105
o136½-110
u137½-110
MS Valley State Delta Devils (3-28)
Jackson State Tigers (10-20)
13.7%
86.3%
+490
-833
+575
-750
+11½-109
-11½-105
+11½-109
-11½-109
68.4
79.6
148.0
o145-110
u145-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (20-11)
29.4%
70.6%
+285
-330
+310
-310
+7½-107
-7½-110
+7½-109
-7-110
79.3
85.3
164.6
o165½-110
u167-113
o165½-110
u167-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Utah Valley Wolverines (22-7)
Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-19)
82.1%
17.9%
-526
+430
-500
+435
-10-105
+10-110
-9½-109
+10-110
79.4
69.5
148.9
o150-110
u150½-110
o150-110
u151½-110
Overall Bet Value Active
Southern University Jaguars (14-16)
Alabama A&M Bulldogs (17-13)
50.6%
49.4%
-114
-110
-109
+100
+0-110
+1-115
+0-109
+1-110
74.1
73.8
147.9
o144½-110
u145½-110
o145-110
u145½-110
Manhattan Jaspers (12-19)
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
33.2%
66.8%
+175
-200
+180
-195
+4½-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4-109
72.2
77.6
149.8
o148-110
u148-110
o148-110
u148½-110
Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15)
New Mexico State Aggies (13-15)
35.5%
64.5%
+220
-260
+230
-260
+6-105
-6-110
+6-109
-6-109
69.3
74.0
143.3
o144½-110
u145-110
o144-110
u145-110
Ark Pine Bluff Golden Lions (12-18)
Alcorn State Braves (8-21)
56.4%
43.6%
-123
+105
-120
+110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-105
77.7
75.2
152.9
o145-110
u146½-115
o146-110
u147-110
South Florida Bulls (21-8)
Memphis Tigers (12-17)
68.8%
31.2%
-320
+263
-300
+270
-7½-105
+7½-105
-7-109
+7½-110
83.6
77.9
161.5
o161½-110
u162-110
o161-110
u162-110
Kennesaw State Owls (18-11)
UTEP Miners (10-19)
62.3%
37.7%
-170
+157
-170
+160
-3½-110
+3½-104
-3½-109
+4-110
76.4
72.5
148.9
o149-110
u149-110
o148½-110
u149½-110
Pepperdine Waves (9-22)
Portland Pilots (13-18)
38.0%
62.0%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+3½-110
-3½-108
+3½-109
-3½-105
73.0
76.8
149.8
o154½-105
u154½-110
o154-110
u155-110
Cal State Northridge Matadors (18-12)
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-22)
73.9%
26.1%
-400
+320
-375
+360
-8½-108
+8½-110
-8-109
+8½-110
85.3
77.9
163.2
o165½-110
u165½-110
o165½-110
u166-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Lindenwood Lions (18-14)
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
43.0%
57.0%
+140
-145
+145
-160
+3-110
-2½-110
+3-109
-3-109
72.7
75.3
148.0
o148½-110
u149-110
o148½-110
u149½-110
South Dakota State Jackrabbits (14-17)
St. Thomas Tommies (23-8)
32.5%
67.5%
+189
-220
+225
-210
+5-110
-5-105
+6-110
-4½-110
72.5
78.0
150.5
o150-110
u150-110
o148½-110
u151-110
All Bet Values Active
Evansville Purple Aces (7-24)
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
9.1%
90.9%
+800
-1250
+1000
-1500
+14½-105
-14-110
+14½-110
-14-105
57.4
70.9
128.3
o127½-110
u128½-110
o128-110
u129-110
UC San Diego Tritons (21-9)
Cal State Fullerton Titans (15-15)
63.0%
37.0%
-165
+145
-165
+150
-3½-109
+4-114
-3½-109
+3½-105
81.3
77.2
158.5
o156-110
u156½-110
o155½-110
u156½-110
Abilene Christian Wildcats (13-16)
California Baptist Lancers (21-8)
19.6%
80.4%
+400
-490
+425
-500
+10-112
-10-105
+10-109
-9½-110
64.6
73.7
138.3
o136½-110
u137-110
o137-110
u137-110
Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17)
UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10)
18.8%
81.2%
+370
-465
+435
-420
+9½-110
-9½-105
+10-110
-9-110
73.6
83.1
156.7
o158½-110
u158½-110
o157½-110
u158½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
UC Davis Aggies (17-12)
Long Beach State 49ers (9-21)
55.6%
44.4%
-130
+115
-130
+115
-2-109
+2-110
-2-109
+2-109
75.4
73.2
148.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150-110
u151-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Loyola Marymount Lions (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+201
-240
+215
-240
+5½-109
-5½-110
+5½-105
-5½-109
70.5
76.8
147.3
o145½-110
u146-110
o146-110
u146½-110
Games for Mar 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Points
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
James Madison Dukes (18-14)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
58.0%
42.0%
-133
+120
-130
+115
-2-105
+2-106
-2-109
+2½-110
144.7
o143½-110
u143½-105
o142½-110
u144-110
2nd H
12:38
47
56
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Iona Gaels (18-13)
36.7%
63.3%
+150
-165
+145
-160
+3½-111
-3-110
+3-109
-3-109
148.5
o149½-110
u150-113
o149½-110
u150-110
2nd H
13:27
52
45
Bucknell Bison (10-22)
Navy Midshipmen (25-6)
9.8%
90.2%
+800
-2000
+1000
-1300
+15½-110
-14½-110
+15-110
-14-109
134.2
o133½-110
u135-110
o133½-110
u133½-110
1st H
10:37
21
23
American University Eagles (16-15)
Boston University Terriers (15-16)
42.8%
57.2%
+100
-118
+100
-115
+1½-110
-1-110
+1-109
+0-110
141.3
o141-115
u141-105
o141½-110
u142-110
1st H
10:32
12
16
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (12-19)
Colgate Raiders (17-14)
25.3%
74.7%
+222
-250
+230
-250
+5½-104
-5½-110
+6-110
-5½-109
150.2
o155½-105
u155½-110
o155-110
u155½-110
1st H
10:32
6
23
Holy Cross Crusaders (11-21)
Lehigh Mountain Hawks (15-16)
28.9%
71.1%
+210
-240
+215
-240
+5½-105
-5-110
+5½-110
-5-105
139.8
o142-110
u142-110
o142-110
u143-110
1st H
09:34
13
19
MTSU Blue Raiders (15-14)
FIU Golden Panthers (14-15)
46.7%
53.3%
-115
-105
-110
+100
+0-110
+1-110
+0-110
+1-109
153.1
o153½-110
u154-110
o153-110
u154½-110
1st H
11:33
9
15
Sam Houston State Bearkats (21-8)
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (9-20)
72.5%
27.5%
-320
+280
-320
+305
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
+8-110
146.1
o147½-110
u148-110
o147½-110
u148-110
1st H
12:22
7
11
Tulane Green Wave (17-12)
Temple Owls (15-14)
40.0%
60.0%
+170
-185
+175
-190
+4½-110
-4½-110
+5-110
-4-109
144.6
o144½-110
u144½-110
o144½-110
u145-110
1st H
10:07
16
18
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (23-6)
East Carolina Pirates (11-18)
78.3%
21.7%
-460
+400
-420
+380
-9-105
+9½-110
-9-105
+9½-109
152.6
o156-110
u156½-105
o156½-110
u156½-110
1st H
14:58
15
4
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (16-13)
Liberty Flames (24-5)
16.4%
83.6%
+360
-420
+400
-420
+9½-115
-9-110
+10-109
-8½-110
138.0
o137½-105
u138-115
o137-110
u137½-110
1st H
10:19
21
17
Eastern Illinois Panthers (13-19)
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%
+316
-380
+335
-380
+8-109
-8-107
+8½-109
-8-110
126.6
o126½-110
u127½-110
o125½-110
u126½-110
1st H
10:22
17
11
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (10-22)
North Dakota State Bison (24-7)
18.1%
81.9%
+613
-800
+650
-820
+12+100
-12½-110
+12½-109
-12-110
148.8
o147½-110
u148½-110
o147-110
u147½-110
1st H
11:58
11
11
Indiana State Sycamores (11-20)
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
41.4%
58.6%
+120
-140
+135
-140
+2-105
-2-110
+2½-110
-2-109
141.0
o141-110
u141-108
o140-110
u141½-110
1st H
12:02
16
8

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Campbell Fighting Camels
Towson Tigers
32.8%
67.2%
+186
-210
+190
-200
+5-109
-5-105
+5-109
-5-109
67
71
-0.41617-0.41690-0.39785
UCLA Bruins
Minnesota Golden Gophers
55.8%
44.2%
-120
+110
-120
+105
-1½-104
+1½-109
-1-110
+1½-109
73
78
-0.76336-0.75056-0.81572
UMass Minutemen
Bowling Green Falcons
33.0%
67.0%
+165
-185
+175
-180
+4-110
-4-105
+4-109
-4-105
62
81
-0.45828-0.44830-0.39994
Georgetown Hoyas
Xavier Musketeers
34.5%
65.5%
+170
-195
+175
-190
+4½-110
-4½-105
+4½-110
-4-109
84
91
-0.44488-0.44150-0.42361
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
LIU Sharks
17.0%
83.0%

+400
-500
+9½-110
-9-113
+9½-109
-9½-109
60
74
-0.21511-0.18672
UMBC Retrievers
UMass Lowell River Hawks
59.2%
40.8%
-135
+115
-140
+130
-2-115
+3-115
-3-109
+3-109
84
60
-0.59314-0.55696-0.52352
St. Francis Red Flash
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
18.3%
81.7%
+310
-415
+370
-420
+8½-110
-8½-105
+9-110
-8-110
64
69
-0.26442-0.23383-0.20269
Chicago State Cougars
Wagner Seahawks
33.9%
66.1%
+175
-210
+175
-200
+4½-105
-4-110
+4-109
-4-109
61
80
-0.42971-0.43532-0.41435
Army Black Knights
Lafayette Leopards
35.9%
64.1%
+132
-167
+155
-155
+3-105
-3-110
+3½-110
-3-109
77
83
-0.52421-0.49784-0.44480
Le Moyne Dolphins
New Haven Chargers
56.0%
44.0%
-135
+115
-135
+115
-2-105
+2-110
-2-110
+2½-109
59
66
-0.80428-0.80428-0.82084
Cleveland State Vikings
Robert Morris Colonials
16.1%
83.9%
+680
-900
+700
-1000
+12½-110
-12½-105
+13-109
-12½-110
64
83
-0.13318-0.12883-0.17534
New Mexico State Aggies
MTSU Blue Raiders
35.8%
64.2%
+203
-235
+220
-240
+5½-110
-5-116
+6-110
-5-110
85
86
-0.38559-0.36652-0.44379
Missouri Tigers
Mississippi State Bulldogs
54.1%
45.9%
-125
+115
-125
+110
-1-115
+2-114
-1-110
+1½-109
88
64
-0.60825-0.61904-0.61443
Fordham Rams
VCU Rams
9.1%
90.9%
+661
-950
+700
-900
+13-110
-13-105
+13-109
-12½-110
63
82
-0.13561-0.13005-0.09584
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
Holy Cross Crusaders
46.1%
53.9%
+105
-125
+105
-125
+1½-110
-1-110
+1½-109
-1½-109
76
62
-0.76029-0.76029-0.77492
Boston University Terriers
American University Eagles
38.0%
62.0%
+140
-161
+130
-145
+3-105
-3-110
+3-110
-2½-109
68
65
-0.90845-0.85918-0.96653
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1813-4 (0.750)1-0.63487 
Sportsbooks1814-4 (0.778)0-0.60534 
DRatings1813-5 (0.722)0-0.58854
0.04633
0.01681

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.