NCAA Basketball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bellarmine Knights (13-18)
Central Arkansas Bears (20-11)
31.0%
69.0%


+7½-110
-5½-113
+5½-110
-5½-110
75.9
81.7
157.6
o155½-110
u156-110
o155½-110
u156-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (4-28)
High Point Panthers (27-4)
2.4%
97.6%


+26-110
-26-110
+25½-110
-25½-110
69.5
91.9
161.4
o159-110
u159-110
o159½-110
u161½-110
All Bet Values Active
Drake Bulldogs (12-19)
Belmont Bruins (26-5)
19.6%
80.4%


+12-115
-11½-105
+11½-110
-11½-110
71.4
80.6
152.0
o153-110
u153-110
o153½-110
u153½-110
Northeastern Huskies (6-23)
North Carolina A&T Aggies (11-18)
54.6%
45.4%


+1-109
-1-105
+1-110
-1-110
76.6
74.7
151.3
o153½-115
u153½-105
o154-110
u154½-110
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (15-17)
Lipscomb Bisons (19-12)
39.2%
60.8%


+4½-110
-3-131
+4½-110
-4-110
77.5
81.1
158.6
o150-110
u150-110
o150½-110
u150½-110
Charleston Southern Buccaneers (15-16)
Winthrop Eagles (21-10)
25.7%
74.3%


+4½-110
-4½-110
+5-110
-4-110
78.5
86.1
164.6
o162-110
u162-110
o162½-110
u163½-110
UIC Flames (17-14)
Murray State Racers (20-11)
41.5%
58.5%


+1-110
-1-103
+1-110
-1-110
75.0
78.1
153.1
o148½-110
u149-110
o149-110
u149½-110
Stetson Hatters (12-20)
Austin Peay Governors (21-8)
17.6%
82.4%


+11-112
-11-108
+11½-110
-10-110
72.0
81.9
153.9
o150½-110
u150½-110
o152½-110
u152½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
The Citadel Bulldogs (10-21)
Chattanooga Mocs (13-18)
26.7%
73.3%


+7½-110
-7½-105
+7½-110
-7-110
70.3
77.5
147.8
o146½-105
u146½-115
o145½-110
u145½-110
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (16-15)
Texas State Bobcats (19-12)
50.0%
50.0%


+1½-110
-1½-110
+1-110
-1-110
71.0
71.1
142.1
o140-110
u140-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
Longwood Lancers (16-15)
UNC Asheville Bulldogs (14-16)
45.0%
55.0%


-1-110
+1-105
-1-110
+1-110
74.3
76.4
150.7
o141-110
u141-110
o140½-110
u140½-110
Northern Illinois Huskies (9-20)
Akron Zips (25-5)
3.7%
96.3%


+23½-110
-23-110
+23½-110
-23-110
70.0
89.2
159.2
o155-110
u155½-110
o154½-110
u154½-110
Sacred Heart Pioneers (13-18)
Merrimack Warriors (21-10)
31.7%
68.3%


+7-110
-7-110

67.8
73.4
141.2
o143½-110
u143½-110

Bowling Green Falcons (17-13)
Eastern Michigan Eagles (10-20)
68.1%
31.9%


-3½-110
+4-115
-3½-110
+3½-110
77.9
72.3
150.2
o141-110
u141½-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
VCU Rams (23-7)
Dayton Flyers (21-9)
52.7%
47.3%


+2-110
-1½-110
+2-110
-1½-110
76.5
75.3
151.8
o148½-115
u149-110
o148½-110
u148½-110
Columbia Lions (16-11)
Harvard Crimson (16-11)
40.5%
59.5%


+4½-110
-4-115
+4½-110
-4-110
70.0
73.2
143.2
o134-110
u134-110
o133-110
u133½-110
Penn Quakers (15-11)
Brown Bears (9-17)
63.8%
36.2%


-2½-110
+2½-105
-2-110
+3-110
74.9
70.3
145.2
o141½-110
u142-110
o141-110
u143-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Central Michigan Chippewas (10-20)
Ball State Cardinals (11-19)
44.4%
55.6%


+2-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
71.1
73.2
144.3
o136-110
u136½-110
o135-110
u135½-110
Western Michigan Broncos (10-20)
Kent State Golden Flashes (22-8)
13.0%
87.0%


+11-110
-11-105
+11-110
-11-110
74.6
86.0
160.6
o158-105
u158-110
o158½-110
u158½-110
Buffalo Bulls (17-13)
Toledo Rockets (16-14)
30.7%
69.3%


+8-110
-8-106
+8½-110
-8-110
77.3
83.2
160.5
o153-110
u154½-115
o154-110
u154-110
Omaha Mavericks (15-16)
South Dakota Coyotes (16-15)
54.6%
45.4%


-2½-105
+2½-110
-2½-110
+3-110
82.3
80.3
162.6
o151½-105
u151½-110
o151-110
u151-110
Valparaiso Beacons (17-14)
Bradley University Braves (20-11)
33.3%
66.7%


+4-110
-4-110
+3½-110
-3-110
69.6
74.9
144.5
o135½-110
u135½-110
o135½-110
u136-110
West Georgia Wolves (15-16)
Queens Royals (18-13)
23.1%
76.9%


+7-110
-7-110
+6½-110
-6½-110
78.9
87.1
166.0
o163½-115
u163½-105
o164½-110
u165½-110
VMI Keydets (6-25)
UNC Greensboro Spartans (13-18)
25.9%
74.1%


+7½-110
-7½-110
+7½-110
-7-110
73.7
81.3
155.0
o155½-105
u156-115
o155½-110
u155½-110
UCF Knights (20-9)
West Virginia Mountaineers (17-13)
37.1%
62.9%


+3-105
-3-115
+3½-110
-3-110
71.9
76.0
147.9
o141½-105
u142-110
o141½-110
u141½-110
Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (21-10)
Tennessee State Tigers (21-9)
49.7%
50.3%


+2½-110
-2½-110
+2½-110
-2½-110
70.8
71.0
141.8
o140-110
u140-110
o140-110
u140-110
Georgia Southern Eagles (17-15)
South Alabama Jaguars (21-10)
43.8%
56.2%


+4½-105
-4½-115
+4½-110
-4½-110
74.1
76.5
150.6
o149½-110
u149½-110
o149½-110
u149½-110
Presbyterian Blue Hose (14-17)
Radford Highlanders (16-15)
40.3%
59.7%


+2-110
-2-109
+2-110
-2-110
74.4
77.7
152.1
o145-110
u145½-110
o145½-110
u146½-110
Fairfield Stags (19-12)
Saint Peter's Peacocks (17-11)
46.3%
53.7%


+2-110
-2-110

68.1
69.8
137.9
o138½-110
u138½-110

Miami RedHawks (30-0)
Ohio Bobcats (15-15)
80.9%
19.1%


-5½-110
+5½-107
-5½-110
+6-110
86.0
76.7
162.7
o160-110
u160½-110
o159½-110
u160½-110
St. John's Red Storm (24-6)
Seton Hall Pirates (20-10)
71.3%
28.7%


-4½-110
+5-102
-4½-110
+4½-110
75.3
68.8
144.1
o137-110
u137½-105
o137-110
u138-110
Portland Pilots (13-18)
Washington State Cougars (12-19)
31.4%
68.6%




73.6
79.4
153.0


Denver Pioneers (15-16)
North Dakota Fighting Hawks (16-16)
59.7%
40.3%


-3½-110
+3½-110
-3½-110
+4-110
83.2
80.0
163.2
o160½-105
u161-110
o160½-110
u160½-110
Northern Iowa Panthers (19-12)
Illinois State Redbirds (20-11)
51.4%
48.6%




68.1
67.6
135.7


UNLV Rebels (16-14)
San Diego State Aztecs (19-10)
19.6%
80.4%


+10-110
-9½-115
+10½-110
-9½-110
70.2
79.4
149.6
o152½-110
u153½-110
o152½-110
u153-110
Overall Bet Value Active
SE Missouri State Redhawks (19-12)
Morehead State Eagles (19-12)
63.5%
36.5%


-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
73.4
68.9
142.3
o143-110
u143-110
o143-110
u143-110
San Diego Toreros (11-20)
Seattle Redhawks (19-12)
20.9%
79.1%




68.9
77.7
146.6


Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Iowa Hawkeyes
Penn State Nittany Lions
82.2%
17.8%
-525
+446
-545
+425
-9-110
+9½-110
-9½-109
+10-110
69
71
-1.72031-1.69304-1.72524
Virginia Cavaliers
Duke Blue Devils
18.5%
81.5%
+430
-550
+475
-550
+10-109
-10-108
+10½-110
-10-109
51
77
-0.20130-0.18692-0.20417
NC State Wolfpack
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
74.2%
25.8%
-275
+249
-260
+250
-6½-105
+6½-110
-6-110
+6½-109
90
96
-1.26958-1.26068-1.35557
Louisiana Lafayette
Arkansas State Red Wolves
13.0%
87.0%
+875
-1300
+900
-1400
+14½-110
-14-105
+14½-109
-13½-110
58
81
-0.10476-0.10178-0.13911
Georgia Southern Eagles
Marshall Thundering Herd
25.9%
74.1%
+270
-320
+280
-310
+7½-110
-7½-107
+7½-110
-7-109
99
82
-1.33998-1.35406-1.35000
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
South Alabama Jaguars
33.7%
66.3%
+175
-195
+180
-200
+4½-110
-4-109
+4½-110
-4-109
68
55
-1.03595-1.05317-1.08791
Akron Zips
Kent State Golden Flashes
61.1%
38.9%
-165
+157
-170
+160
-3½-110
+4-113
-3½-109
+3½-109
92
70
-0.48547-0.47678-0.49338
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
James Madison Dukes
33.0%
67.0%
+220
-250
+220
-245
+6-104
-6-110
+6-109
-5½-110
69
68
-1.18958-1.18554-1.10730
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Texas State Bobcats
52.4%
47.6%
-115
-105
-109
-109
+0-110
+1-110
+0-109
+0-109
57
60
-0.71505-0.69315-0.74167
Michigan Wolverines
Illinois Fighting Illini
58.5%
41.5%
-133
+118
-120
+115
-2-103
+2-103
-1½-109
+2-110
84
70
-0.58980-0.61667-0.53578
Old Dominion Monarchs
Georgia State Panthers
51.8%
48.2%
-115
+103
-115
+105
-1-109
+1-108
-1-110
+1½-109
81
73
-0.65283-0.64814-0.65701
Louisiana Monroe Warhawks
Troy Trojans
4.8%
95.2%
+1550
-5000
+2000
-3000
+19-105
-19-105
+19-109
-19-105
65
80
-0.05998-0.04804-0.04871
Rider Broncs
Iona Gaels
14.7%
85.3%
+575
-750
+550
-750
+11½-110
-11½-105
+11½-109
-11½-105
58
80
-0.15522-0.16073-0.15844
Merrimack Warriors
Canisius Golden Griffins
80.4%
19.6%
-450
+367
-445
+400
-8½-110
+9-114
-8½-105
+9-109
62
67
-1.57296-1.62582-1.62898
Manhattan Jaspers
Saint Peter's Peacocks
24.4%
75.6%
+267
-320
+300
-350
+7-105
-7-110
+7½-109
-7-115
65
75
-0.30574-0.27871-0.28022
Harvard Crimson
Princeton Tigers
64.1%
35.9%
-180
+165
-180
+170
-4-105
+4-110
-4-109
+4½-110
58
56
-0.46185-0.45497-0.44438
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks4630-14 (0.674)2-0.59182 
Sportsbooks4630-16 (0.652)0-0.59021 
DRatings4629-17 (0.630)0-0.60612
-0.01431
-0.01591

Predictions Methodology

Below are our projections for all of the games in college basketball today. The projections that we provide are now at a “Level 3” (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the winner and score.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.