NCAA Football Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 5, 2023

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
PointsTotal
Points
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-4)
Liberty Flames (4-0)
17.6%
82.4%
+950
-1300
+915
-1400
+21-110
-20½-108
+21-110
-20½-110
16.1
29.1
45.2
o46-105
u46-108
o46-110
u46-110
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (2-2)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (2-3)
65.2%
34.8%
-225
+195
-235
+200
-6-105
+6½-108
-6-110
+6-110
36.5
32.3
68.8
o59½-108
u60-110
o60-110
u60½-110
Overall Bet Value Active

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Points
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nevada Wolf Pack
Fresno State Bulldogs
6.6%
93.4%
+1367
-3000
+1400
-2300
+26-107
-25½-108
+25½-110
-25-110
9
27
-0.06808-0.06725-0.06830
Washington Huskies
Arizona Wildcats
85.2%
14.8%
-1065
+775
-1100
+950
-19½-110
+20-108
-19½-110
+20½-110
31
24
-0.11780-0.09885-0.15971
Alabama Crimson Tide
Mississippi State Bulldogs
88.9%
11.1%
-795
+595
-800
+700
-16½-108
+16½-108
-16½-110
+17-110
40
17
-0.15013-0.13158-0.11755
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Sacramento State Hornets
9.4%
90.6%
+696
-1440

+20½-110
-20½-102
+20½-110
-20½-110
30
31
-0.12606-0.09909
UC Davis Aggies
Cal Poly Mustangs
78.3%
21.7%


-23½-110
+24-110
-24-110
+24-110
31
13
-0.24489
Nicholls Colonels
McNeese State Cowboys
61.0%
39.0%
-310
+218

-7-110
+7-110
-7-110
+7-110
31
10
-0.34777-0.49461
Central Arkansas Bears
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
65.9%
34.1%
-295
+207

-7-120
+7+105
-7½-110
+7½-110
29
27
-0.36196-0.41750
San Diego State Aztecs
Air Force Falcons
27.4%
72.6%
+330
-395
+330
-380
+11½-115
-10½-108
+11-110
-10-110
10
49
-0.25576-0.25755-0.32049
Appalachian State Mountaineers
ULM Warhawks
75.1%
24.9%
-525
+430
-475
+400
-13½-108
+13½+100
-13½-110
+14-110
41
40
-0.20263-0.21680-0.28586
West Virginia Mountaineers
TCU Horned Frogs
20.9%
79.1%
+400
-500
+400
-470
+13½-108
-13-110
+13½-110
-13-110
24
21
-1.64222-1.63368-1.56662
Pittsburgh Panthers
Virginia Tech Hokies
50.3%
49.7%
-150
+135
-140
+140
-2½-120
+3-108
-2½-110
+3-110
21
38
-0.87962-0.87546-0.69868
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Duke Blue Devils
57.5%
42.5%
-195
+180
-190
+190
-5-108
+5½-110
-5-105
+5½-110
21
14
-0.43197-0.42286-0.55292
Michigan State Spartans
Iowa Hawkeyes
16.3%
83.7%
+320
-370
+330
-325
+10-108
-10-105
+10½-110
-9-115
16
26
-0.26425-0.26553-0.17776
Charlotte 49ers
SMU Mustangs
9.0%
91.0%
+1075
-1600
+1100
-1800
+22½-108
-22½-108
+23½-110
-22½-110
16
34
-0.08657-0.08431-0.09378
South Carolina Gamecocks
Tennessee Volunteers
21.7%
78.3%
+355
-400
+345
-420
+11½-110
-11-108
+12½-110
-12-110
20
41
-0.24273-0.24548-0.24407
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
North Alabama Lions
69.8%
30.2%
-300
+216

-8-110
+8-110
-8-110
+8-110
32
22
-0.35203-0.35977
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11475-29 (0.702)10-0.51934 
Sportsbooks11451-13 (0.667)50-0.49441 
DRatings11488-26 (0.772)0-0.49827
0.02108
-0.00386

Predictions Methodology

Welcome to our page on college football computer predictions. This projection system was designed to use past data to predict college football games in the future. The predictions that you will see here now account for weather and injuries. There is always some element of error in the predictions. I encourage you to read my disclaimer page for more information.

One can also refer to our FBS ratings which are updated every Sunday morning, except on weeks where games run through Sunday or Monday.

The predictions on these college football games are to be used for informational purposes only.

All upcoming college football predictions are listed above. Enjoy the information!