Zwolle at Ajax

Updated

Zwolle

10.7%15.8%73.4%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.53
1Final Score 3

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Utrecht
W 2-0 at Telstar
W 0-1 vs Twente
W 0-2 vs Groningen
W 2-1 at Willem II
Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at Volendam
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-2 vs Telstar
W 0-2 vs Twente

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+1057+804+775+750+788+750+804+798.2
Ajax-398-310-350-323-348-323-310-260.5
Draw+548+476+475+470+469+470+476+502.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle-----+798.2
Ajax------260.5
Draw-----+502.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Ajax: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zwolle ML moved from +764 to +752
Ajax ML moved from -334 to -348

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+111o3-138o3¼-105o3¼-108o3¼-107o3¼-108o3-138o3¼+102
Underu3½-131u3+118u3¼-115u3¼-112u3¼-113u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+102
Under-----u3¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.33%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 418.59%
Exactly 67.17%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.34%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.64%
Exactly 73.48%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 041.93%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.84%
Exactly 34.59%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 07.95%
Exactly 120.13%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 413.62%
Exactly 56.90%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 71.05%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.70%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 45.31%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 313.48%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 066.87%
Exactly 126.91%
Exactly 25.41%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 030.96%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals3.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals51.47%
Wins by 3+ goals30.45%
Wins by 4+ goals15.23%
Wins by 5+ goals6.49%
Wins by 6+ goals2.36%
Wins by 7+ goals0.70%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Ajax
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal7.49%
Wins by 2 goals2.47%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal21.83%
Wins by 2 goals21.03%
Wins by 3 goals15.22%
Wins by 4 goals8.73%
Wins by 5 goals4.13%
Wins by 6 goals1.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.56%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.67%3.33%
1.585.33%14.67%
2.566.05%33.95%
3.544.19%55.81%
4.525.61%74.39%
5.512.96%87.04%
6.55.79%94.21%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.07%41.93%
1.521.63%78.37%
2.55.79%94.21%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.05%7.95%
1.571.92%28.08%
2.546.44%53.56%
3.524.93%75.07%
4.511.32%88.68%
5.54.42%95.58%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.30%20.70%
1.546.69%53.31%
2.521.02%78.98%
3.57.54%92.46%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.33%
8.44%
10.69%
9.02%
5.71%
2.89%
1
2.90%
7.34%
9.29%
7.84%
4.96%
2.51%
2
1.26%
3.19%
4.04%
3.41%
2.16%
1.09%
3
0.36%
0.92%
1.17%
0.99%
0.62%
0.32%
Zwolle
1-02.90%
2-01.26%
2-13.19%
3-00.36%
3-10.92%
3-21.17%
Draw
0-03.33%
1-17.34%
2-24.04%
3-30.99%
4-40.14%
Ajax
0-18.44%
0-210.69%
1-29.29%
0-39.02%
1-37.84%
2-33.41%
0-45.71%
1-44.96%
2-42.16%
3-40.62%
0-52.89%
1-52.51%
2-51.09%
3-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Ajax
Score012345
0
20.70%
24.27%
14.23%
5.56%
1.63%
0.38%
1
8.33%
9.77%
5.73%
2.24%
0.66%
0.15%
2
1.68%
1.97%
1.15%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
3
0.22%
0.26%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Zwolle
1-08.33%
2-01.68%
2-11.97%
3-00.22%
3-10.26%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-020.70%
1-19.77%
2-21.15%
Ajax
0-124.27%
0-214.23%
1-25.73%
0-35.56%
1-32.24%
2-30.45%
0-41.63%
1-40.66%
2-40.13%
0-50.38%
1-50.15%