Almere City at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Almere City

6.5%12.9%80.6%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.70
1Final Score 1

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Almere City
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 3-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam
T 0-0 vs Go Ahead Eagles
L 1-2 at Heerenveen
L 0-5 at PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 3-2 at Twente
W 0-3 vs Groningen
W 3-0 at Go Ahead Eagles
T 1-1 vs NAC Breda
L 0-1 at Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City+717+1005+900+950+985+950+1005+1005.9
AZ Alkmaar-277-408-435-435-481-435-408-338.6
Draw+447+582+525+590+589+590+590+626.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almere City-----+1005.9
AZ Alkmaar------338.6
Draw-----+626.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almere City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almere City: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Almere City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almere City: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almere City ML moved from +1006 to +985
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -479 to -488

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-128o3½-108o3½-112o3½-118o3½-117o3½-118o3½-108o3½-107
Underu3+109u3½-108u3½-108u3½-102u3½-103u3½-102u3½-102u3½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-107
Under-----u3½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½-114
The Under moved from u3¾-119 to u3½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.51%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 418.41%
Exactly 66.89%
Exactly 81.38%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.75%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 512.34%
Exactly 73.30%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Almere City
Exactly 052.33%
Exactly 133.89%
Exactly 210.97%
Exactly 32.37%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 118.11%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 414.90%
Exactly 58.06%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 80.47%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.20%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 45.12%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.88%
Exactly 313.19%
Exactly 51.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almere City
Exactly 074.10%
Exactly 122.21%
Exactly 23.33%
Exactly 30.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 028.61%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 222.40%
Exactly 39.35%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almere City
Wins by 2+ goals1.51%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals59.98%
Wins by 3+ goals37.85%
Wins by 4+ goals20.28%
Wins by 5+ goals9.32%
Wins by 6+ goals3.71%
Wins by 7+ goals1.28%
Wins by 8+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Almere City
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almere City
Wins by 1 goal4.92%
Wins by 2 goals1.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.23%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal20.58%
Wins by 2 goals22.12%
Wins by 3 goals17.57%
Wins by 4 goals10.96%
Wins by 5 goals5.61%
Wins by 6 goals2.43%
Wins by 7 goals0.91%
Wins by 8 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.49%3.51%
1.584.75%15.25%
2.565.06%34.94%
3.543.08%56.92%
4.524.67%75.33%
5.512.33%87.67%
6.55.44%94.56%
7.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Almere City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.67%52.33%
1.513.78%86.22%
2.52.81%97.19%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.19%24.81%
2.550.71%49.29%
3.528.66%71.34%
4.513.75%86.25%
5.55.70%94.30%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.80%21.20%
1.545.92%54.08%
2.520.41%79.59%
3.57.22%92.78%
4.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almere City
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.51%
9.48%
12.81%
11.54%
7.80%
4.22%
1
2.27%
6.14%
8.29%
7.47%
5.05%
2.73%
2
0.74%
1.99%
2.69%
2.42%
1.64%
0.88%
3
0.16%
0.43%
0.58%
0.52%
0.35%
0.19%
Almere City
1-02.27%
2-00.74%
2-11.99%
3-00.16%
3-10.43%
3-20.58%
Draw
0-03.51%
1-16.14%
2-22.69%
3-30.52%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.48%
0-212.81%
1-28.29%
0-311.54%
1-37.47%
2-32.42%
0-47.80%
1-45.05%
2-41.64%
3-40.35%
0-54.22%
1-52.73%
2-50.88%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Almere City
AZ Alkmaar
Score0123456
0
21.20%
26.53%
16.60%
6.93%
2.17%
0.54%
0.11%
1
6.36%
7.95%
4.98%
2.08%
0.65%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.95%
1.19%
0.75%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.01%
Almere City
1-06.36%
2-00.95%
2-11.19%
Draw
0-021.20%
1-17.95%
2-20.75%
AZ Alkmaar
0-126.53%
0-216.60%
1-24.98%
0-36.93%
1-32.08%
2-30.31%
0-42.17%
1-40.65%
0-50.54%
1-50.16%
0-60.11%
Willem II at NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen at Heracles Almelo