Twente at Ajax

Updated

Twente

17.8%20.9%61.3%
WinDrawAjax Win
1.00Projected Goals 2.03
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
L 3-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 0-2 vs Utrecht
W 2-0 at Sparta Rotterdam
L 3-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
T 1-1 at Zwolle
Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 at Groningen
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-4 at Utrecht
W 2-1 at Willem II

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente+525+502+500+510+507+510+510+544.1
Ajax-216-216-235-233-236-233-216-196.4
Draw+410+426+390+420+418+420+426+449.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-----+544.1
Ajax------196.4
Draw-----+449.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +518 to +507
Ajax ML moved from -227 to -233

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+112o3½+101o3½-102o3½-107o3½-106o3½-107o3½+101o3½+103
Underu3½-132u3½-119u3½-118u3½-113u3½-114u3½-113u3½-113u3½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+103
Under-----u3½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-113 to o3½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.8%
 
No45.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.83%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 416.97%
Exactly 65.19%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.64%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.28%
Exactly 72.25%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 036.89%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.34%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 013.10%
Exactly 126.63%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.33%
Exactly 49.32%
Exactly 53.79%
Exactly 61.28%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.59%
Exactly 224.20%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 311.31%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 063.02%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 039.02%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.28%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals6.10%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals37.43%
Wins by 3+ goals18.74%
Wins by 4+ goals7.77%
Wins by 5+ goals2.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.75%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Twente
Wins by 1 goal11.66%
Wins by 2 goals4.49%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals18.69%
Wins by 3 goals10.97%
Wins by 4 goals5.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.61%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.17%4.83%
1.580.52%19.48%
2.558.34%41.66%
3.535.94%64.06%
4.518.98%81.02%
5.58.69%91.31%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.11%36.89%
1.526.32%73.68%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.90%13.10%
1.560.27%39.73%
2.533.21%66.79%
3.514.88%85.12%
4.55.56%94.44%
5.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.41%24.59%
1.540.91%59.09%
2.516.72%83.28%
3.55.40%94.60%
4.51.44%98.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.83%
9.82%
9.98%
6.76%
3.44%
1.40%
1
4.82%
9.80%
9.95%
6.74%
3.43%
1.39%
2
2.40%
4.88%
4.96%
3.36%
1.71%
0.69%
3
0.80%
1.62%
1.65%
1.12%
0.57%
0.23%
4
0.20%
0.40%
0.41%
0.28%
0.14%
0.06%
Twente
1-04.82%
2-02.40%
2-14.88%
3-00.80%
3-11.62%
3-21.65%
4-00.20%
4-10.40%
4-20.41%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-04.83%
1-19.80%
2-24.96%
3-31.12%
4-40.14%
Ajax
0-19.82%
0-29.98%
1-29.95%
0-36.76%
1-36.74%
2-33.36%
0-43.44%
1-43.43%
2-41.71%
3-40.57%
0-51.40%
1-51.39%
2-50.69%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Ajax
Score012345
0
24.59%
23.14%
10.89%
3.42%
0.80%
0.15%
1
11.35%
10.68%
5.03%
1.58%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.62%
2.47%
1.16%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.40%
0.38%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Twente
1-011.35%
2-02.62%
2-12.47%
3-00.40%
3-10.38%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-024.59%
1-110.68%
2-21.16%
Ajax
0-123.14%
0-210.89%
1-25.03%
0-33.42%
1-31.58%
2-30.36%
0-40.80%
1-40.37%
0-50.15%