Telstar at Ajax

Updated

Telstar

28.4%26.6%44.9%
Telstar WinDrawAjax Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.41
0Final Score 2

Ajax

Last Games

Telstar
Money Line
Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Twente
T 2-2 at Groningen
L 3-0 vs NEC Nijmegen
T 1-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 0-4 at Utrecht

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar+1200--+1150+1192+1150+1192+1226.6
Ajax-667---550-573-550-550-393.3
Draw+650--+640+635+640+640+685.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Telstar-----+1226.6
Ajax------393.3
Draw-----+685.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Telstar: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Telstar: 60.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Telstar: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Telstar: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Telstar ML moved from +1181 to +1154
Ajax ML moved from -500 to -550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110--o3½-112o3½-111o3½-112o3½-111o3½-102
Underu3½-110--u3½-108u3½-109u3½-108u3½-108u3½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½-102
Under-----u3½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.39%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 413.18%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.79%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.53%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Telstar
Exactly 034.47%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.55%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 024.35%
Exactly 134.40%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 311.44%
Exactly 44.04%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.75%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Telstar
Exactly 061.07%
Exactly 130.12%
Exactly 27.43%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 051.99%
Exactly 134.01%
Exactly 211.12%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Telstar
Wins by 2+ goals10.75%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals21.57%
Wins by 3+ goals8.12%
Wins by 4+ goals2.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Telstar
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Telstar
Wins by 1 goal17.58%
Wins by 2 goals7.64%
Wins by 3 goals2.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.32%
Wins by 2 goals13.45%
Wins by 3 goals5.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.61%8.39%
1.570.81%29.19%
2.545.05%54.95%
3.523.77%76.23%
4.510.59%89.41%
5.54.06%95.94%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Telstar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.53%34.47%
1.528.82%71.18%
2.59.27%90.73%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.65%24.35%
1.541.26%58.74%
2.516.96%83.04%
3.55.52%94.48%
4.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.25%31.75%
1.531.82%68.18%
2.510.93%89.07%
3.52.94%97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Telstar
Ajax
Score012345
0
8.39%
11.86%
8.37%
3.94%
1.39%
0.39%
1
8.94%
12.63%
8.92%
4.20%
1.48%
0.42%
2
4.76%
6.73%
4.75%
2.24%
0.79%
0.22%
3
1.69%
2.39%
1.69%
0.79%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.45%
0.64%
0.45%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Telstar
1-08.94%
2-04.76%
2-16.73%
3-01.69%
3-12.39%
3-21.69%
4-00.45%
4-10.64%
4-20.45%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-08.39%
1-112.63%
2-24.75%
3-30.79%
Ajax
0-111.86%
0-28.37%
1-28.92%
0-33.94%
1-34.20%
2-32.24%
0-41.39%
1-41.48%
2-40.79%
3-40.28%
0-50.39%
1-50.42%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Telstar
Ajax
Score01234
0
31.75%
20.77%
6.79%
1.48%
0.24%
1
15.66%
10.24%
3.35%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.86%
2.53%
0.83%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.63%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Telstar
1-015.66%
2-03.86%
2-12.53%
3-00.63%
3-10.42%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.75%
1-110.24%
2-20.83%
Ajax
0-120.77%
0-26.79%
1-23.35%
0-31.48%
1-30.73%
2-30.18%
0-40.24%
1-40.12%
Groningen at AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo at Utrecht