Fortuna Sittard at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

28.2%25.1%46.7%
Fortuna Sittard WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.56
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Utrecht+215
L 1-2 at Heerenveen+425
L 4-1 vs Cambuur+125
L 0-3 at Twente+600
L 3-2 vs Ajax+975
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 0-0 at Heerenveen+350
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+475
T 1-1 vs Groningen+105
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+396+314+310+320-+320+320+331.5
NEC Nijmegen-148-118-120-120--120-118-113.2
Draw+315+288+265+296-+296+296+321.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+280----+320+320+331.5
NEC Nijmegen-110-----125-125-113.2
Draw+275----+285+285+321.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +324 to +314
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortuna Sittard ML
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+114o3+106o2¾-120o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2¾-118o2½-140
Underu3-134u3-126u2¾+100u2¾-102-u2¾-102u3-126u2½+140
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-140
Under-----u2½+140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.58%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 415.03%
Exactly 63.71%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.90%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 58.18%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 031.44%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 020.92%
Exactly 132.73%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 313.35%
Exactly 45.22%
Exactly 51.63%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.37%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.46%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 058.52%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 048.47%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.71%
Exactly 33.07%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals11.23%
Wins by 3+ goals3.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals23.75%
Wins by 3+ goals9.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal16.92%
Wins by 2 goals7.74%
Wins by 3 goals2.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.88%
Wins by 2 goals14.15%
Wins by 3 goals6.47%
Wins by 4 goals2.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.42%6.58%
1.575.52%24.48%
2.551.16%48.84%
3.529.06%70.94%
4.514.03%85.97%
5.55.85%94.15%
6.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.56%31.44%
1.532.18%67.82%
2.511.13%88.87%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.08%20.92%
1.546.34%53.66%
2.520.74%79.26%
3.57.40%92.60%
4.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.63%28.37%
1.535.89%64.11%
2.513.38%86.62%
3.53.92%96.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.58%
10.29%
8.05%
4.20%
1.64%
0.51%
1
7.61%
11.91%
9.31%
4.86%
1.90%
0.59%
2
4.40%
6.89%
5.39%
2.81%
1.10%
0.34%
3
1.70%
2.66%
2.08%
1.08%
0.42%
0.13%
4
0.49%
0.77%
0.60%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.11%
0.18%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-07.61%
2-04.40%
2-16.89%
3-01.70%
3-12.66%
3-22.08%
4-00.49%
4-10.77%
4-20.60%
4-30.31%
5-00.11%
5-10.18%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-06.58%
1-111.91%
2-25.39%
3-31.08%
4-40.12%
NEC Nijmegen
0-110.29%
0-28.05%
1-29.31%
0-34.20%
1-34.86%
2-32.81%
0-41.64%
1-41.90%
2-41.10%
3-40.42%
0-50.51%
1-50.59%
2-50.34%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
28.37%
20.54%
7.44%
1.80%
0.33%
1
15.20%
11.01%
3.99%
0.96%
0.17%
2
4.07%
2.95%
1.07%
0.26%
0.05%
3
0.73%
0.53%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Fortuna Sittard
1-015.20%
2-04.07%
2-12.95%
3-00.73%
3-10.53%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-028.37%
1-111.01%
2-21.07%
NEC Nijmegen
0-120.54%
0-27.44%
1-23.99%
0-31.80%
1-30.96%
2-30.26%
0-40.33%
1-40.17%