NEC Nijmegen at Heerenveen

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

19.1%22.6%58.3%
WinDrawHeerenveen Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.84
0Final Score 0

Heerenveen

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar+475
T 1-1 vs Groningen+105
W 4-1 at Volendam+145
L 1-0 vs Twente+235
L 1-0 vs Fortuna Sittard-115
Heerenveen
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard-160
W 4-0 at Vitesse+240
T 0-0 at Feyenoord+800
T 0-0 vs Sparta Rotterdam-110
L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+175+388+380+370-+370+388+431.0
Heerenveen+148-134-140-135--135-134-124.5
Draw+267+281+265+280-+280+281+289.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen+260----+350+350+431.0
Heerenveen+100-----125-125-124.5
Draw+265----+265+265+289.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +292 to +283
Heerenveen ML moved from -122 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Heerenveen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +260 to +250
Heerenveen ML moved from -110 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+112o2½-116o2½-118o2½-116-o2½-116o2½-116o2½-105
Underu3-132u2½-102u2½-102u2½-104-u2½-104u2½-102u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-105
Under-----u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.12%
Exactly 223.88%
Exactly 415.53%
Exactly 64.04%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.10%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.68%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.61%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 35.54%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 015.85%
Exactly 129.20%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.51%
Exactly 47.60%
Exactly 52.80%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.44%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.89%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 064.37%
Exactly 128.36%
Exactly 26.25%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 042.62%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.50%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals6.44%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals33.72%
Wins by 3+ goals15.77%
Wins by 4+ goals6.07%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal12.66%
Wins by 2 goals4.79%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals17.94%
Wins by 3 goals9.71%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.88%6.12%
1.576.78%23.22%
2.552.90%47.10%
3.530.66%69.34%
4.515.13%84.87%
5.56.45%93.55%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.39%38.61%
1.524.64%75.36%
2.57.16%92.84%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.15%15.85%
1.554.95%45.05%
2.528.06%71.94%
3.511.55%88.45%
4.53.95%96.05%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.56%27.44%
1.537.08%62.92%
2.514.14%85.86%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
6.12%
11.27%
10.38%
6.37%
2.94%
1.08%
1
5.82%
10.73%
9.88%
6.07%
2.79%
1.03%
2
2.77%
5.10%
4.70%
2.89%
1.33%
0.49%
3
0.88%
1.62%
1.49%
0.92%
0.42%
0.16%
4
0.21%
0.39%
0.35%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
NEC Nijmegen
1-05.82%
2-02.77%
2-15.10%
3-00.88%
3-11.62%
3-21.49%
4-00.21%
4-10.39%
4-20.35%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.12%
1-110.73%
2-24.70%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Heerenveen
0-111.27%
0-210.38%
1-29.88%
0-36.37%
1-36.07%
2-32.89%
0-42.94%
1-42.79%
2-41.33%
3-40.42%
0-51.08%
1-51.03%
2-50.49%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Score012345
0
27.44%
23.40%
9.98%
2.84%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.09%
10.31%
4.39%
1.25%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.66%
2.27%
0.97%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.39%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-012.09%
2-02.66%
2-12.27%
3-00.39%
3-10.33%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.44%
1-110.31%
2-20.97%
Heerenveen
0-123.40%
0-29.98%
1-24.39%
0-32.84%
1-31.25%
2-30.28%
0-40.60%
1-40.27%
0-50.10%