Heerenveen at AZ Alkmaar

Updated

Heerenveen

8.5%14.8%76.7%
WinDrawAZ Alkmaar Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.55
0Final Score 2

AZ Alkmaar

Last 5 Games

Heerenveen
Money Line
W 2-3 vs AZ Alkmaar+210
W 1-3 vs Go Ahead Eagles-140
L 0-5 at Ajax+1300
W 2-1 at Vitesse+320
T 3-3 vs Cambuur-135
AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
L 2-3 at Heerenveen+140
L 3-1 vs RKC Waalwijk-420
T 2-2 at Utrecht+115
T 2-2 vs Ajax+350
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+440+440+400-+400+477+477+467.2
AZ Alkmaar-185-165-156--156-163-156-145.3
Draw+355+285+310-+310+318+318+332.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Heerenveen+610----+450+450+467.2
AZ Alkmaar-220-----170-170-145.3
Draw+350----+315+315+332.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 10.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +420 to +400
AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -155 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Heerenveen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Heerenveen: 0.0%
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Heerenveen ML moved from +605 to +450
No Steam Moves On AZ Alkmaar ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o2¾-110o2¾-109-o2¾-109o3+131o3+131o3+128
Underu2¾+100u2¾-110u2¾-111-u2¾-111u3-146u2¾-110u3-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145----o3+125o3+125o3+128
Underu2½+125----u3-145u3-145u3-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-145
The Under moved from u3+125 to u3-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.78%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 418.13%
Exactly 66.49%
Exactly 81.24%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.37%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 511.88%
Exactly 73.04%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Heerenveen
Exactly 048.20%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 212.84%
Exactly 33.12%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 07.83%
Exactly 119.95%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 413.73%
Exactly 56.99%
Exactly 62.97%
Exactly 71.08%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.94%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 44.84%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 312.76%
Exactly 51.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Heerenveen
Exactly 071.32%
Exactly 124.10%
Exactly 24.07%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 030.75%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 38.40%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Heerenveen
Wins by 2+ goals2.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals54.77%
Wins by 3+ goals32.94%
Wins by 4+ goals16.72%
Wins by 5+ goals7.23%
Wins by 6+ goals2.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.81%
Wins by 8+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Heerenveen
Wins by 1 goal6.23%
Wins by 2 goals1.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal21.79%
Wins by 2 goals21.83%
Wins by 3 goals16.22%
Wins by 4 goals9.49%
Wins by 5 goals4.56%
Wins by 6 goals1.85%
Wins by 7 goals0.64%
Wins by 8 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.22%3.78%
1.583.85%16.15%
2.563.59%36.41%
3.541.45%58.55%
4.523.32%76.68%
5.511.43%88.57%
6.54.94%95.06%
7.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Heerenveen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.80%48.20%
1.516.63%83.37%
2.53.79%96.21%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.17%7.83%
1.572.22%27.78%
2.546.81%53.19%
3.525.25%74.75%
4.511.52%88.48%
5.54.52%95.48%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.06%21.94%
1.544.79%55.21%
2.519.55%80.45%
3.56.78%93.22%
4.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
3.78%
9.62%
12.24%
10.39%
6.62%
3.37%
1
2.76%
7.02%
8.94%
7.59%
4.83%
2.46%
2
1.01%
2.56%
3.26%
2.77%
1.76%
0.90%
3
0.24%
0.62%
0.79%
0.67%
0.43%
0.22%
Heerenveen
1-02.76%
2-01.01%
2-12.56%
3-00.24%
3-10.62%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-03.78%
1-17.02%
2-23.26%
3-30.67%
AZ Alkmaar
0-19.62%
0-212.24%
1-28.94%
0-310.39%
1-37.59%
2-32.77%
0-46.62%
1-44.83%
2-41.76%
3-40.43%
0-53.37%
1-52.46%
2-50.90%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Score012345
0
21.94%
25.86%
15.25%
5.99%
1.77%
0.42%
1
7.41%
8.74%
5.15%
2.03%
0.60%
0.14%
2
1.25%
1.48%
0.87%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Heerenveen
1-07.41%
2-01.25%
2-11.48%
3-00.14%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-021.94%
1-18.74%
2-20.87%
AZ Alkmaar
0-125.86%
0-215.25%
1-25.15%
0-35.99%
1-32.03%
2-30.34%
0-41.77%
1-40.60%
2-40.10%
0-50.42%
1-50.14%