AZ Alkmaar at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

AZ Alkmaar

44.5%26.9%28.6%
AZ Alkmaar WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.39Projected Goals 1.06
3Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

AZ Alkmaar
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Feyenoord+170
W 1-2 vs Heracles Almelo-265
W 4-1 at Go Ahead Eagles-185
W 2-1 at PSV Eindhoven+355
T 0-0 vs Cambuur-400
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 1-4 at Vitesse+350
T 1-1 vs RKC Waalwijk+115
W 1-0 at Heerenveen+245
T 1-1 at Zwolle+300
L 4-1 vs Feyenoord+780

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-125-175-161-165--161-161-153.5
NEC Nijmegen+330+475+450+504-+450+504+525.9
Draw+265+290+295+314-+295+314+326.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
AZ Alkmaar-180-----185-185-153.5
NEC Nijmegen+505----+520+520+525.9
Draw+315----+315+315+326.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -180 to -190
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +511 to +490

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

AZ Alkmaar: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

AZ Alkmaar ML moved from -180 to -195
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +525 to +500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-108o2½-111o2½-108-o2½-111o2½-108o2½+100
Underu2¾-118u2½-112u2½-109u2½-107-u2½-109u2½-107u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.63%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 412.96%
Exactly 62.59%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.14%
Exactly 321.15%
Exactly 56.35%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 024.86%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 224.08%
Exactly 311.17%
Exactly 43.89%
Exactly 51.08%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 034.70%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.16%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 42.22%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - AZ Alkmaar
Exactly 052.49%
Exactly 133.83%
Exactly 210.90%
Exactly 32.34%
Exactly 40.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 061.26%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 2+ goals21.18%
Wins by 3+ goals7.88%
Wins by 4+ goals2.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals10.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%

Exact Winning Margin

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
AZ Alkmaar
Wins by 1 goal23.31%
Wins by 2 goals13.29%
Wins by 3 goals5.53%
Wins by 4 goals1.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.47%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal17.73%
Wins by 2 goals7.69%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.37%8.63%
1.570.24%29.76%
2.544.34%55.66%
3.523.19%76.81%
4.510.23%89.77%
5.53.88%96.12%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals AZ Alkmaar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.14%24.86%
1.540.54%59.46%
2.516.46%83.54%
3.55.28%94.72%
4.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.30%34.70%
1.528.58%71.42%
2.59.14%90.86%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.84%32.16%
1.531.36%68.64%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.84%97.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
8.63%
9.13%
4.83%
1.71%
0.45%
1
12.01%
12.71%
6.73%
2.37%
0.63%
2
8.36%
8.84%
4.68%
1.65%
0.44%
3
3.88%
4.10%
2.17%
0.77%
0.20%
4
1.35%
1.43%
0.76%
0.27%
0.07%
5
0.38%
0.40%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
AZ Alkmaar
1-012.01%
2-08.36%
2-18.84%
3-03.88%
3-14.10%
3-22.17%
4-01.35%
4-11.43%
4-20.76%
4-30.27%
5-00.38%
5-10.40%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.63%
1-112.71%
2-24.68%
3-30.77%
NEC Nijmegen
0-19.13%
0-24.83%
1-26.73%
0-31.71%
1-32.37%
2-31.65%
0-40.45%
1-40.63%
2-40.44%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen
Score0123
0
32.16%
15.76%
3.86%
0.63%
1
20.72%
10.16%
2.49%
0.41%
2
6.68%
3.27%
0.80%
0.13%
3
1.43%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
AZ Alkmaar
1-020.72%
2-06.68%
2-13.27%
3-01.43%
3-10.70%
3-20.17%
4-00.23%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-032.16%
1-110.16%
2-20.80%
NEC Nijmegen
0-115.76%
0-23.86%
1-22.49%
0-30.63%
1-30.41%
2-30.13%