Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
-102
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht		22.2%
54.0%		23.8%
+377
-128

1
0		-1.59598-1.50494
NAC Breda
Almere City		34.0%
40.2%		25.8%
+236
+124

1
1		-1.28211-1.35371
Almere City
Twente		8.1%
76.9%		15.0%
+978
-356

0
1		-0.28691-0.26279
Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen		27.1%
46.9%		26.0%
+200
+141

3
2		-1.13283-1.30637
Ajax
Zwolle		68.9%
13.3%		17.8%
-178
+508

1
0		-0.48248-0.37309
Utrecht
Willem II		44.2%
30.1%		25.8%
+112
+273

3
2		-0.77740-0.81746
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven		3.3%
89.3%		7.3%
+1016
-443

1
2		-0.24280-0.11286
Heracles Almelo
Fortuna Sittard		22.5%
54.4%		23.1%
+210
+132

0
1		-0.88015-0.60950
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda		34.9%
40.0%		25.1%
+129
+231

1
1		-1.24559-1.38234
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam		19.8%
57.8%		22.4%
+443
-145

0
4		-0.55963-0.54905
Ajax
Almere City		73.6%
10.1%		16.3%
-196
+566

1
0		-0.43702-0.30593
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen		53.7%
23.1%		23.3%
+117
+253

1
3		-1.29470-1.46729
NEC Nijmegen
Feyenoord		11.3%
71.5%		17.2%
+557
-207

0
0		-1.58265-1.76160
Twente
Groningen		45.3%
28.2%		26.5%
+101
+298

1
1		-1.27207-1.32648
PSV Eindhoven
Go Ahead Eagles		70.3%
12.6%		17.1%
-211
+516

2
3		-1.85726-2.07513
NAC Breda
Utrecht		13.1%
70.4%		16.5%
+484
-172

0
1		-0.49330-0.35069
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.