Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for November 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
PostponedGroningen
Ajax 		15.3%
64.7%		20.0%
+255
-102

0.91
2.09		3.00
o2¾-108
u2¾-105

Games for Nov 29, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
Willem II		36.7%
35.8%		27.5%
+242
+129
+250
+125
2
1		-1.26944-1.30416-1.00365
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		37.5%
35.6%		26.9%
+160
+168
+160
+160
1
2		-1.02223-1.00518-1.03375
Zwolle
Groningen		18.0%
59.7%		22.3%
+296
+104
+290
+100
0
0		-1.25576-1.28359-1.50144
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo		40.4%
32.9%		26.7%
+253
+121
+225
+130
2
2		-1.23629-1.22758-1.32039
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk		76.2%
9.0%		14.8%
-426
+1103
-480
+1125
3
2		-0.24810-0.24001-0.27149
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam		19.9%
59.4%		20.7%
+391
-130
+315
-115
2
0		-1.62969-1.47534-1.61415
NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles		24.6%
50.4%		25.0%
+274
+102
+275
-105
0
5		-0.73886-0.72054-0.68603
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		15.0%
66.1%		18.8%
+693
-286
+700
-300
1
6		-0.33600-0.33543-0.41355
Utrecht
Ajax		11.5%
71.6%		16.9%
+722
-235
+625
-225
2
2		-1.69467-1.56394-1.77857
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen		58.6%
18.9%		22.5%
-122
+343
-140
+370
2
1		-0.62609-0.58709-0.53438
Heracles Almelo
AZ Alkmaar		6.8%
80.3%		12.8%
+662
-247
+700
-300
0
1		-0.37943-0.33837-0.21882
Go Ahead Eagles
Twente		9.2%
75.5%		15.2%
+390
-141
+465
-175
2
3		-0.56913-0.49949-0.28053
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht		64.1%
16.4%		19.4%
-209
+536
-200
+515
5
2		-0.42601-0.45567-0.44424
Sparta Rotterdam
Zwolle		42.6%
30.7%		26.8%
+159
+176
+155
+175
0
1		-1.05443-1.06031-1.18228
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		6.2%
82.1%		11.6%
+1100
-380
+950
-380
1
1		-1.85880-1.84396-2.15193
Willem II
Groningen		24.9%
49.8%		25.3%
+310
+104
+285
+110
0
2		-0.74851-0.79396-0.69770
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.