Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ajax
NAC Breda		48.1%
29.6%		22.3%
+108
+235

2
0		-0.78425-0.73251
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen		17.8%
62.6%		19.5%
+500
-222

1
2		-0.43433-0.46797
Groningen
Feyenoord		20.3%
58.4%		21.3%
+340
-142

1
3		-0.58393-0.53772
Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven		7.2%
81.6%		11.2%
+700
-345

1
6		-0.30725-0.20360
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles		42.8%
31.2%		26.0%
+198
+124

0
0		-1.39869-1.34873
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar		34.1%
36.9%		29.0%
+240
-101

1
4		-0.74955-0.99598
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar		21.4%
56.6%		22.0%
+335
-147

0
3		-0.57496-0.56895
Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen		33.1%
39.6%		27.2%
+245
-102

1
1		-1.41096-1.30100
Excelsior
Zwolle		30.1%
42.5%		27.4%
+205
+128

2
2		-1.27189-1.29434
NAC Breda
Fortuna Sittard		36.4%
39.3%		24.3%
+146
+176

1
1		-1.28482-1.41420
Ajax
Heracles Almelo		59.6%
18.7%		21.7%
-185
+415

3
0		-0.49106-0.51753
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen		24.5%
50.4%		25.1%
+340
-137

0
0		-1.43058-1.38366
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam		52.8%
24.9%		22.3%
-109
+240

2
0		-0.70605-0.63932
Telstar
Utrecht		16.0%
64.0%		20.0%
+460
-170

1
4		-0.52836-0.44660
Volendam
Twente		7.3%
79.4%		13.2%
+950
-500

1
2		-0.24671-0.23021
Sparta Rotterdam
NAC Breda		35.0%
39.5%		25.5%
+220
+130

0
0		-1.29550-1.36787
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.