Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
-102
+260

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard		40.7%
32.7%		26.6%
+137
+216

2
2		-1.25576-1.32509
Heerenveen
Twente		22.7%
53.9%		23.3%
+450
-167

0
5		-0.50322-0.61719
Volendam
Zwolle		20.0%
56.6%		23.3%
+500
-167

2
1		-1.82716-1.60769
Heracles Almelo
NEC Nijmegen		12.5%
69.0%		18.4%
+650
-244

1
4		-0.38522-0.37070
Excelsior
NAC Breda		28.0%
47.7%		24.3%
+340
-119

2
0		-1.52892-1.27379
Go Ahead Eagles
Volendam		50.5%
24.1%		25.3%
+106
+260

1
1		-1.34128-1.37401
Utrecht
Heerenveen		28.1%
46.2%		25.7%
+400
-135

1
1		-1.39139-1.35907
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo		28.9%
46.7%		24.4%
+240
+120

1
2		-0.83034-0.76134
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven		24.8%
52.1%		23.1%
+370
-149

0
3		-0.55123-0.65266
Ajax
Excelsior		53.5%
22.5%		23.9%
-114
+310

2
2		-1.39344-1.43104
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam		35.7%
37.1%		27.1%
+190
+152

0
2		-0.95529-0.99080
Telstar
Zwolle		29.5%
43.0%		27.5%
+200
+134

1
4		-0.88790-0.84306
NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar		20.2%
56.9%		22.9%
+280
-103

3
1		-1.36289-1.59914
Twente
NAC Breda		50.1%
26.7%		23.2%
+118
+270

2
2		-1.22974-1.46287
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht		20.1%
58.3%		21.6%
+270
+106

1
0		-1.34128-1.60370
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		5.1%
84.5%		10.4%
+1000
-435

2
4		-0.23941-0.16810
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.