Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Almere City
Twente 		7.1%
79.0%		13.9%
+1000
-375

0.65
2.59		3.24
o3+102
u3-122

Excelsior
Ajax 		7.7%
77.9%		14.4%
+758
-288

0.68
2.55		3.23
o3¼-105
u3½-140

Games for Apr 23, 2024
Games for Apr 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Heerenveen
RKC Waalwijk		39.1%
33.6%		27.3%
+144
+187
+140
+190
1
1		-1.32648-1.28844-1.29938
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles		17.1%
61.0%		21.9%
+524
-196
+520
-210
0
3		-0.44552-0.43967-0.49415
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam		28.0%
46.6%		25.3%
+235
+127
+225
+125
0
4		-0.84908-0.86034-0.76308
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen		69.4%
12.8%		17.8%
-257
+780
-275
+625
1
3		-2.19328-2.02966-2.05409
Twente
PSV Eindhoven		12.0%
71.3%		16.8%
+643
-247
+625
-250
0
1		-0.37442-0.38737-0.33874
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		49.5%
25.6%		24.9%
+121
+235
+115
+230
2
2		-1.30320-1.31557-1.39078
Feyenoord
Heerenveen		64.6%
15.6%		19.8%
-240
+650
-245
+590
3
2		-0.38299-0.39402-0.43737
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht		20.6%
56.4%		23.0%
+273
+108
+280
-105
0
1		-0.75496-0.71719-0.57185
AZ Alkmaar
Volendam		79.5%
7.0%		13.5%
-463
+1223
-575
+1400
4
0		-0.22955-0.21089-0.22987
Almere City
Vitesse		29.2%
44.0%		26.8%
+242
+127
+240
+120
1
1		-1.22496-1.24434-1.31610
RKC Waalwijk
Excelsior		34.5%
37.1%		28.4%
+193
+145
+210
+125
1
1		-1.28732-1.30416-1.25811
Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard		20.0%
57.8%		22.2%
+369
-130
+380
-140
1
3		-0.60164-0.58913-0.54792
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo		31.9%
41.3%		26.8%
+125
+219
+125
+210
0
2		-1.18925-1.18280-0.88424
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		4.0%
86.8%		9.2%
+2294
-996
+2200
-1400
0
3		-0.11998-0.11863-0.14183
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen		30.7%
42.0%		27.2%
+248
+113
+245
+105
0
2		-0.78148-0.76819-0.86683
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		9.6%
75.2%		15.2%
+530
-181
+490
-190
2
2		-1.50238-1.53225-1.88710
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.