Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 13, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Groningen
Zwolle 		45.0%
28.7%		26.3%
+137
+185

1.44
1.09		2.53
o2¾-125
u2¾+108

Games for Mar 12, 2026
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Groningen
Heracles Almelo		31.4%
40.4%		28.2%
+220
+146
+230
+135
2
4		-0.92836-0.90429-0.90520
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar		14.2%
75.7%		10.1%
+1213
-398
+1050
-410
1
4		-0.25767-0.26788-0.27872
Vitesse
Sparta Rotterdam		36.0%
37.2%		26.8%
+189
+165
+140
+205
2
2		-1.22214-1.22960-1.31804
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		49.4%
28.1%		22.5%
-149
+427
-150
+375
2
2		-1.45547-1.47333-1.49223
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen		44.7%
30.2%		25.1%
-359
+1100
-390
+875
2
1		-0.26462-0.27926-0.80508
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax		15.1%
73.5%		11.4%
+800
-263
+1000
-410
2
1		-1.79408-1.91930-2.17138
Heracles Almelo
Vitesse		25.6%
52.9%		21.5%
+431
-143
+430
-155
1
2		-0.54782-0.54943-0.63597
Feyenoord
Groningen		45.3%
28.3%		26.4%
-198
+605
-200
+560
1
1		-1.53215-1.49906-1.33207
RKC Waalwijk
Twente		20.4%
62.5%		17.1%
+466
-132
+485
-170
1
2		-0.57270-0.51196-0.46968
Fortuna Sittard
Zwolle		32.0%
43.7%		24.3%
+279
+113
+275
+105
1
0		-1.35530-1.36920-1.14078
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen		30.1%
45.7%		24.2%
+244
+124
+230
+120
0
0		-1.28761-1.27418-1.41873
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		23.5%
55.7%		20.8%
+616
-199
+560
-210
0
0		-1.53114-1.55400-1.57065
Cambuur
Willem II		41.9%
31.8%		26.3%
+181
+156
+180
+150
3
1		-1.04982-1.07960-0.86922
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		13.6%
77.2%		9.2%
+1700
-537
+1700
-650
0
5		-0.18525-0.19309-0.25856
Twente
Go Ahead Eagles		28.5%
46.8%		24.7%
+136
+231
+120
+240
2
1		-0.88535-0.83884-1.25509
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar		15.3%
73.5%		11.2%
+760
-220
+700
-245
1
3		-0.39426-0.39349-0.30836
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.