New England at Buffalo

Updated
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
34.6%65.4%
New England WinBuffalo Win
19.9Projected Points 24.0
17Final Score 47
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank10
P/G26.6
PA/G19.4
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3

Quarterbacks

Mac Jones

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.617224.02213

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.317259.03615

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
L 24-33 at Miami DolphinsNE: Mac Jones • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-230
W 10-50 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • NE: Mac Jones-1400
L 33-21 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-110
L 17-27 at Indianapolis ColtsNE: Mac Jones • IND: Carson Wentz+105
W 14-10 at Buffalo BillsNE: Mac Jones • BUF: Josh Allen+130
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 10-27 vs New York JetsNYJ: Zach Wilson • BUF: Josh Allen-1050
W 15-29 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Matt Ryan • BUF: Josh Allen-1000
W 33-21 at New England PatriotsBUF: Josh Allen • NE: Mac Jones-105
W 14-31 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Cam Newton • BUF: Josh Allen-850
L 27-33 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersBUF: Josh Allen • TB: Tom Brady+160

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • DERonnie PerkinsIR
  • SJoshuah BledsoeIR
  • LBJamie CollinsProbable
  • OLIsaiah WynnOut
  • CBJalen MillsQuestionable
  • LBDont'a HightowerProbable
  • DBKyle DuggerProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WREmmanuel SandersProbable
  • DEEfe ObadaOut
ENE 7 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)
Humidity70%72%72%71%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 7 mphE 7 mphE 7 mphE 6 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+165+175+175+195+190+195+195+191.4
Buffalo-190-210-210-225-220-225-210-191.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+180+180+184+180+205+180+205+191.4
Buffalo-210-210-210-210-245-210-210-191.4

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+4-110+4½-110+4½-105+4½-111+4½-109+4½-110+4½-105+4½-110
Buffalo-4-110-4½-110-4½-115-4½-109-4½-109-4½-110-4½-109-4½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+4½-110+4½-110+4-110+4½-110+5-110+4½-110+5-110+4½-110
Buffalo-4½-110-4½-110-4-110-4½-110-5-110-4½-110-4-110-4½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +5-110 to +4½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -4½-109 to -5-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 20.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +5-110 to +4½-110
Buffalo Spread moved from -4½-110 to -5-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o43-110o43-115o43-115o43-109o43-115o43-109o43-106
Underu43½-110u43-110u43-105u43-105u43-109u43-105u43-105u43+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LinePinnacle

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-110o43-106
Underu44-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43-110u43+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-105 to o43-115
The Under moved from u43-110 to u43-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o42½-110 to o43-110
The Under moved from u43½-110 to u43-110