Atlanta at San Francisco

Updated
Rank19
P/G20.8
PA/G23.6
59.7%40.3%
Atlanta WinSan Francisco Win
24.3Projected Points 21.2
10Final Score 20
Rank8
P/G24.5
PA/G22.7
Rank19
P/G20.8
PA/G23.6
Rank8
P/G24.5
PA/G22.7

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
62.45234.043

Brock Purdy

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
65.82293.044

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 14-24 vs Buffalo BillsBUF: Josh Allen • ATL: Michael Penix+175
W 27-34 vs Washington CommandersWAS: Marcus Mariota • ATL: Michael Penix-145
L 0-30 at Carolina PanthersATL: Michael Penix • CAR: Bryce Young-235
W 22-6 at Minnesota VikingsATL: Michael Penix • MIN: J.J. McCarthy+160
L 23-20 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Michael Penix-105
San Francisco 49ers
Money Line
L 19-30 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersSF: Mac Jones • TB: Baker Mayfield+170
W 26-23 at Los Angeles RamsSF: Mac Jones • LAR: Matthew Stafford+360
L 26-21 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • SF: Brock Purdy-160
W 15-16 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • SF: Mac Jones-115
W 26-21 at New Orleans SaintsSF: Mac Jones • NO: Spencer Rattler-155

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • LBTroy AndersenIR
  • -Storm NortonIR
  • TJack NelsonOut
  • TJake MatthewsProbable
  • LBJalon WalkerOut
  • LBBralen TriceIR
  • CBClark Phillips IIIProbable
  • DLTa'quon GrahamProbable
  • WRRay-Ray McCloud IIIOut
  • DELeonard FloydProbable
  • SJordan FullerProbable
  • DLLaCale LondonOut
  • TEFeleipe FranksProbable
  • DBBilly Bowman Jr.Out
  • LBMalik VerdonIR
  • WRDarnell MooneyProbable

San Francisco 49ers

Status
  • LBFred WarnerOut for Season
  • DLYetur Gross-MatosOut
  • CBRenardo GreenProbable
  • RBJordan JamesOut
  • QBKurtis RourkeIR
  • WRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingIR
  • DLKalia DavisProbable
  • WRRicky PearsallOut
  • QBMac JonesProbable
  • DLKevin GivensProbable
  • TEGeorge KittleProbable
  • GSpencer BurfordIR
  • OLDrew MossOut
  • DENick BosaOut for Season
  • WRJordan WatkinsOut
  • WRJacob CowingIR
  • WRBrandon AiyukIR
  • CBUpton StoutOut
  • OLDominick PuniProbable
  • WRSkyy MooreOut
  • DTC.J. WestProbable
  • QBBrock PurdyOut
NW 5 mph
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°69°65°63°
Humidity50%63%69%75%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearMostly ClearClear
WindNW 5 mphNW 8 mphNNW 5 mphSW 2 mph
Ron Torbert
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+130-115-120-113-115-113-113-102.6
San Francisco-150-105+100-107-105-107+100+102.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+140-105-115-110-110-115-110-102.6
San Francisco-160-115-105-110-110+105+105+102.6

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+3-115-1-108-1-110-1-108-1-110-1-108-1-108-1+102
San Francisco-3-105+1-108+1-110+1-112+1-110+1-112+1-108+1-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta+3-110+0-110-1-110+0-110+0-110-1½-105+0-110-1+102
San Francisco-3-110+0-110+1-110+0-110+0-110+1½-105+1½-105+1-102

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Atlanta: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 30.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +1-105 to +1-107
San Francisco Spread moved from -2+100 to -2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
San Francisco: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 30.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
San Francisco: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
San Francisco: 30.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from +0-105 to -1-105
San Francisco Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o47-108o46½-110o47-105o46½-110o47-105o46½-110o47+104
Underu45½-110u47-108u46½-110u47-115u46½-110u47-115u47-108u47-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o47-110o47-110o46½-110o47-110o46½-110o46½-110o47+104
Underu45½-110u47-110u47-110u46½-110u47-110u46½-110u47-110u47-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-108 to o47-108
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o46½-110 to o47-110
The Under moved from u47-110 to u46½-110